GWRE

Guidewire Software, Inc.

78
Fundamentals89/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

GWRE has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GWRE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

GWRE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

GWRE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE162x324x487x649x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE162x324x487x649x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward35x$160—
Cheap73x$118-26%
Current98x$160—
Fair171x$278+74%
Expensive528x$861+438%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GWRE's PE is in its fair range at 98x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GWRE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GWRE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GWRE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$230.34
Downside-23%$123.36

Calculated from the latest close: $160.01 on Nov 12.

GWRE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails GWRE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GWRE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.63Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.07Q4 2024: $0.37Q1 2025: $-0.20Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $1.63Forward: $4.56
Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-0.63Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.07Q4 2024: $0.37Q1 2025: $-0.20Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $1.63Forward: $4.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.56+180%
Q3 2026$1.63+101%
Q2 2026$1.86+354%
Q1 2026$2.21+$2.41
Q4 2025$1.06+186%
Q3 2025$0.81+$0.88
Q2 2025$0.41+$0.55
Q1 2025-$0.20+$0.43
Q4 2024$0.37+$1.23

GWRE has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GWRE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $292MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $294MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $373MQ3 2026: $411M
Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $292MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $294MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $373MQ3 2026: $411M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$411.1M+15%
Q2 2026$372.5M+27%
Q1 2026$359.1M+24%
Q4 2025$332.6M+27%
Q3 2025$356.6M+22%
Q2 2025$293.5M+22%
Q1 2025$289.5M+20%
Q4 2024$262.9M+27%

GWRE has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

GWRE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $192MQ4 2024: −$63MQ1 2025: $85MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: −$72MQ1 2026: $109MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $282M
Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $192MQ4 2024: −$63MQ1 2025: $85MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: −$72MQ1 2026: $109MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $282M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$281.8M+17%
Q2 2026$59.4M+88%
Q1 2026$108.8M+28%
Q4 2025-$72.3M-$9.1M
Q3 2025$241.4M+26%
Q2 2025$31.6M+667%
Q1 2025$85.2M+29%
Q4 2024-$63.1M+$9.9M

GWRE generated $378M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

GWRE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 85M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 82MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 86MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 85M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+339K shares
1 year-0.6%-506K shares
3 years+3.9%+3.2M shares
5 years+2.2%+1.8M shares
Available history+3.7%+3M shares

GWRE has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

GWRE Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -29.6xQ2 2025: -11.3xQ3 2025: -10.8xQ4 2025: -5.6xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q1 2025: -29.6xQ2 2025: -11.3xQ3 2025: -10.8xQ4 2025: -5.6xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-10.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-11.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-29.6xNet Cash
Q1 20212.7xModerate

GWRE has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

GWRE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.2Neutral
Stochastic34.1Neutral

GWRE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

GWRE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGWRESector medianRelative
PE98x28x252% above
PE %33352 pts below

GWRE is trading at 98x earnings, a 252% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GWRE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.42.1% below
20 week MA$160.30.2% below
50 week MA$155.23.1% above
100 week MA$184.413% below
200 week MA$148.67.7% above

GWRE's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 7.7% above its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

GWRE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.0$127.2+17%
2021$127.2$113.8-11%
2022$113.8$60.5-47%
2023$60.5$109.0+80%
2024$109.0$171.2+57%
2025$171.2$205.5+20%
2026 YTD$205.5$160.0-22%

GWRE has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over GWRE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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