GUTS

Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock

There isn't enough reported data to score GUTS yet.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 31%, but earnings per share fell 8.5%. At 23x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

GUTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

GUTS's revenue and profitability are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

GUTS PE Valuation

GUTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GUTS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GUTS to show an outlook.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GUTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.81 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GUTS and UNH's risk to reward.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GUTS and UNH's risk to reward.

GUTS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-20.40Q1 2024: $-19.44Q2 2024: $-16.20Q3 2024: $-16.92Q4 2024: $-19.44Q1 2025: $-23.28Q2 2025: $-25.80Q3 2025: $-28.56
Q4 2023: $-20.40Q1 2024: $-19.44Q2 2024: $-16.20Q3 2024: $-16.92Q4 2024: $-19.44Q1 2025: $-23.28Q2 2025: $-25.80Q3 2025: $-28.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025-$28.56-$11.64
Q2 2025-$25.80-$9.60
Q1 2025-$23.28-$3.84
Q4 2024-$19.44+$0.96
Q3 2024-$16.92+$1.44
Q2 2024-$16.20-$0.12
Q1 2024-$19.44-$6.72
Q4 2023-$20.40-$6.48

UNH has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 269% for GUTS versus UNH down 8.5%.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

GUTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7,000Q1 2024: $33,000Q2 2024: $43,000Q3 2024: $14,000Q4 2024: $3,000Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $7,000Q1 2024: $33,000Q2 2024: $43,000Q3 2024: $14,000Q4 2024: $3,000Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2024$3K-57%
Q3 2024$14K-61%
Q2 2024$43K-40%
Q1 2024$33K+560%

UNH has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 57% for GUTS versus down 0.4% for UNH.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GUTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$21.3M-$4.1M
Q3 2025-$22.7M-$4.5M
Q2 2025-$21.3M-$2.3M
Q1 2025-$25.5M-$12.8M
Q4 2024-$17.3M-$6.5M
Q3 2024-$18.3M-$7.1M
Q2 2024-$19M-$7.3M
Q1 2024-$12.8M-$3.2M

UNH has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 5.2% versus its history, compared with GUTS at down 85%.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

GUTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+29.3K shares
1 year+224%+9.2M shares
3 years+233%+9.3M shares
5 years+234%+9.3M shares

GUTS has 13M diluted shares, up 224% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over GUTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GUTS Net Leverage

GUTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

GUTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.9Oversold
Stochastic1.0Oversold

GUTS's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

GUTS PE vs Healthcare Sector

GUTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

GUTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.5668% below
20 week MA$6.1787% below
50 week MA$9.7592% below
100 week MA$13.994% below

UNH has stronger trend alignment. GUTS is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus UNH above 4 of 5.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

GUTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$154.2$23.6-85%
2025$23.6$27.2+15%
2026 YTD$27.2$0.81-97%

GUTS has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 97% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over GUTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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