GUTS

Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock

There isn't enough reported data to score GUTS yet.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 15% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 43%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

GUTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

GUTS's revenue and profitability are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

GUTS PE Valuation

GUTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GUTS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GUTS to show an outlook.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GUTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.81 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GUTS and NVO's risk to reward.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GUTS and NVO's risk to reward.

GUTS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-20.40Q1 2024: $-19.44Q2 2024: $-16.20Q3 2024: $-16.92Q4 2024: $-19.44Q1 2025: $-23.28Q2 2025: $-25.80Q3 2025: $-28.56
Q4 2023: $-20.40Q1 2024: $-19.44Q2 2024: $-16.20Q3 2024: $-16.92Q4 2024: $-19.44Q1 2025: $-23.28Q2 2025: $-25.80Q3 2025: $-28.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2025-$28.56-$11.64
Q2 2025-$25.80-$9.60
Q1 2025-$23.28-$3.84
Q4 2024-$19.44+$0.96
Q3 2024-$16.92+$1.44
Q2 2024-$16.20-$0.12
Q1 2024-$19.44-$6.72
Q4 2023-$20.40-$6.48

NVO has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 269% for GUTS versus NVO up 4.9%.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

GUTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7,000Q1 2024: $33,000Q2 2024: $43,000Q3 2024: $14,000Q4 2024: $3,000Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $7,000Q1 2024: $33,000Q2 2024: $43,000Q3 2024: $14,000Q4 2024: $3,000Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2024$3K-57%
Q3 2024$14K-61%
Q2 2024$43K-40%
Q1 2024$33K+560%

NVO has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 57% for GUTS versus up 2.1% for NVO.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GUTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$21MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$21.3M-$4.1M
Q3 2025-$22.7M-$4.5M
Q2 2025-$21.3M-$2.3M
Q1 2025-$25.5M-$12.8M
Q4 2024-$17.3M-$6.5M
Q3 2024-$18.3M-$7.1M
Q2 2024-$19M-$7.3M
Q1 2024-$12.8M-$3.2M

NVO has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 14% versus its history, compared with GUTS at down 85%.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

GUTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+29.3K shares
1 year+224%+9.2M shares
3 years+233%+9.3M shares
5 years+234%+9.3M shares

GUTS has 13M diluted shares, up 224% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over GUTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GUTS Net Leverage

GUTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GUTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.9Oversold
Stochastic1.0Oversold

GUTS's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

GUTS PE vs Healthcare Sector

GUTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

GUTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.5668% below
20 week MA$6.1787% below
50 week MA$9.7592% below
100 week MA$13.994% below

NVO has stronger trend alignment. GUTS is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus NVO above 1 of 5.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

GUTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$154.2$23.6-85%
2025$23.6$27.2+15%
2026 YTD$27.2$0.81-97%

GUTS has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 97% so far in 2026.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over GUTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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