GTN

Gray Media, Inc.

41
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

GTN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over GTN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

GTN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

GTN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.6x$0.77-87%
Forward4.6x$5.81—
Fair7.2x$2.16-63%
Expensive14x$4.31-26%
Current19x$5.81—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTN's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over GTN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GTN, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over GTN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$7.79
Downside-43%$3.33

Calculated from the latest close: $5.81 on Nov 12.

GTN trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GTN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.26+320%
Q3 2026$0.30-32%
Q2 2026-$0.60-139%
Q1 2026-$1.52-165%
Q4 2025-$1.41-142%
Q3 2025$0.44-71%
Q2 2025$1.54+2100%
Q1 2025$2.34+$2.46
Q4 2024$3.36+$4.75

GTN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.30 over the past year, against $4.33 in late 2022.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over GTN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$972M+30%
Q2 2026$839M+8.7%
Q1 2026$768M-1.8%
Q4 2025$792M-24%
Q3 2025$749M-21%
Q2 2025$772M-6.5%
Q1 2025$782M-5%
Q4 2024$1B+21%

GTN's revenue has held roughly level: $972M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over GTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99M+$110M
Q2 2026$106M+1667%
Q1 2026-$18M-115%
Q4 2025$69M-79%
Q3 2025-$11M-104%
Q2 2025$6M+$17M
Q1 2025$117M+244%
Q4 2024$328M+1326%

GTN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $256M over the past year.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over GTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+3.1%+3M shares
3 years+7.5%+7M shares
5 years+5.3%+5M shares
Available history0%--

GTN has 100M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over GTN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GTN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.8xHigh
Q2 20268.4xHigh
Q1 20268.9xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20256.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20244.9xHigh

GTN's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.4 years a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over GTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.1Neutral
Stochastic59.4Neutral

GTN's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

GTN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGTNSector medianRelative
PE19x16x17% above
PE %882662 pts above

GTN is trading at 19x earnings, a 17% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS has the edge over GTN on valuation relative to its sector.

GTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7323% above
20 week MA$4.6126% above
50 week MA$4.6425% above
100 week MA$4.5229% above
200 week MA$5.871% below

GTN has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

GTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.3$17.4-18%
2021$17.4$20.3+17%
2022$20.3$10.5-48%
2023$10.5$8.96-14%
2024$8.96$3.01-66%
2025$3.01$4.93+64%
2026 YTD$4.93$5.81+18%

GTN has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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