GTN

Gray Media, Inc.

41
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

GTN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over GTN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

GTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

GTN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GTN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.6x$0.77-87%
Forward4.6x$5.81—
Fair7.2x$2.16-63%
Expensive14x$4.31-26%
Current19x$5.81—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTN's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over GTN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GTN, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over GTN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$7.79
Downside-43%$3.33

Calculated from the latest close: $5.81 on Nov 12.

GTN trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GTN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.26+320%
Q3 2026$0.30-32%
Q2 2026-$0.60-139%
Q1 2026-$1.52-165%
Q4 2025-$1.41-142%
Q3 2025$0.44-71%
Q2 2025$1.54+2100%
Q1 2025$2.34+$2.46
Q4 2024$3.36+$4.75

GTN has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 32% for GTN versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$972M+30%
Q2 2026$839M+8.7%
Q1 2026$768M-1.8%
Q4 2025$792M-24%
Q3 2025$749M-21%
Q2 2025$772M-6.5%
Q1 2025$782M-5%
Q4 2024$1B+21%

GTN's revenue has held roughly level: $972M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over GTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99M+$110M
Q2 2026$106M+1667%
Q1 2026-$18M-115%
Q4 2025$69M-79%
Q3 2025-$11M-104%
Q2 2025$6M+$17M
Q1 2025$117M+244%
Q4 2024$328M+1326%

GTN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $256M over the past year.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over GTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+3.1%+3M shares
3 years+7.5%+7M shares
5 years+5.3%+5M shares
Available history0%--

GTN has 100M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over GTN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GTN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.8xHigh
Q2 20268.4xHigh
Q1 20268.9xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20256.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20244.9xHigh

GTN's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.4 years a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over GTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.1Neutral
Stochastic59.4Neutral

GTN's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

GTN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGTNSector medianRelative
PE19x16x17% above
PE %882662 pts above

GTN has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

GTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7323% above
20 week MA$4.6126% above
50 week MA$4.6425% above
100 week MA$4.5229% above
200 week MA$5.871% below

GTN has stronger trend alignment. GTN is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

GTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.3$17.4-18%
2021$17.4$20.3+17%
2022$20.3$10.5-48%
2023$10.5$8.96-14%
2024$8.96$3.01-66%
2025$3.01$4.93+64%
2026 YTD$4.93$5.81+18%

GTN has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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