GTN-A

Gray Media, Inc.

36
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

GTN-A's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 20x earnings, more than twice its usual 7.2x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

GTN-A Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Weak

GTN-A's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

GTN-A PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.1x$1.22-79%
Forward4.7x$5.87—
Fair7.2x$2.15-63%
Expensive14x$4.15-29%
Current20x$5.87—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GTN-A's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GTN-A Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GTN-A, with profitability holding steady.

GTN-A Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$8.55
Downside-40%$3.50

Calculated from the latest close: $5.87 on Nov 12.

GTN-A's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +46% against −40%.

GTN-A Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $0.07Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $0.44Q4 2025: $-1.41Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-0.60Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.26+319%
Q3 2026$0.30-32%
Q2 2026-$0.60-139%
Q1 2026-$1.52-165%
Q4 2025-$1.41-142%
Q3 2025$0.44-71%
Q2 2025$1.54+2100%
Q1 2025$2.34+$2.46
Q4 2024$3.36+$4.75

GTN-A's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.30 over the past year, against $4.33 in late 2022.

GTN-A Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $823MQ2 2024: $826MQ3 2024: $950MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $772MQ3 2025: $749MQ4 2025: $792MQ1 2026: $768MQ2 2026: $839MQ3 2026: $972M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$972M+30%
Q2 2026$839M+8.7%
Q1 2026$768M-1.8%
Q4 2025$792M-24%
Q3 2025$749M-21%
Q2 2025$772M-6.5%
Q1 2025$782M-5%
Q4 2024$1B+21%

GTN-A's revenue has held roughly level: $972M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

GTN-A Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $328MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $69MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99M+$110M
Q2 2026$106M+1667%
Q1 2026-$18M-115%
Q4 2025$69M-79%
Q3 2025-$11M-104%
Q2 2025$6M+$17M
Q1 2025$117M+244%
Q4 2024$328M+1326%

GTN-A still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $256M over the past year.

GTN-A Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 96MQ2 2025: 97MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+3.1%+3M shares
3 years+7.5%+7M shares
5 years+5.3%+5M shares
Available history0%--

GTN-A has 100M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

GTN-A Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2023: 8.5xQ1 2024: 7.9xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.9xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.8xHigh
Q2 20268.4xHigh
Q1 20268.9xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20256.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20244.9xHigh

GTN-A's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.4 years a year ago.

GTN-A Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.0Neutral
Stochastic39.1Neutral

GTN-A's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

GTN-A PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGTN-ASector medianRelative
PE20x16x19% above
PE %872661 pts above

GTN-A is trading at 20x earnings, a 19% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

GTN-A Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.840.5% above
20 week MA$6.124.1% below
50 week MA$8.8834% below
100 week MA$8.7633% below
200 week MA$8.6432% below

GTN-A has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 32% below its 200-week average.

GTN-A Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.4$16.1-21%
2021$16.1$18.8+17%
2022$18.8$10.1-46%
2023$10.1$8.57-15%
2024$8.57$6.78-21%
2025$6.78$9.81+45%
2026 YTD$9.81$5.87-40%

GTN-A has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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