GSM

Ferroglobe PLC

43
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

GSM lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

GSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

GSM's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

GSM PE Valuation

GSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.4x next year's earnings.

GSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect GSM to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$5.03
Downside-39%$1.86

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

GSM's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +65% against −39%.

GSM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-0.30Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.87Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.73Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.22Forward: $0.57
Q4 2023: $0.46Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-0.30Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.87Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.73Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.22Forward: $0.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.57—
Q2 2026-$0.22+$0.35
Q1 2026-$0.59+$0.28
Q4 2025-$0.91-$0.39
Q3 2025-$0.73-$0.43
Q2 2025-$0.57-$0.38
Q1 2025-$0.87-356%
Q4 2024-$0.52-213%
Q3 2022$2.65+$4.07

GSM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.22 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2020.

GSM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $417MQ4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: $392MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $387MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: $348MQ2 2026: $379M
Q3 2023: $417MQ4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: $392MQ2 2024: $307MQ3 2024: $434MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $387MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: $348MQ2 2026: $379M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$378.6M-2.1%
Q1 2026$347.7M+13%
Q4 2025$329.4M-10%
Q3 2025$311.7M-28%
Q2 2025$386.9M+26%
Q1 2025$307.2M-22%
Q4 2024$367.5M-2.2%
Q3 2024$433.5M+4%

GSM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $379M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GSM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $578,000Q4 2025: −$20MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $19M
Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $578,000Q4 2025: −$20MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$18.6M+$20.3M
Q1 2026-$17.7M-449%
Q4 2025-$20M-233%
Q3 2025$578K+$10.6M
Q2 2025-$1.8M+$18.1M
Q1 2025$5.1M-97%
Q4 2024$15M+368%
Q3 2024-$10M+$18.1M

GSM's free cash flow was −$19M over the past year, against $8M the year before.

GSM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 191MQ4 2023: 191MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 187MQ3 2024: 190MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 187MQ2 2025: 188MQ3 2025: 188MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 188MQ2 2026: 189M
Q3 2023: 191MQ4 2023: 191MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 187MQ3 2024: 190MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 187MQ2 2025: 188MQ3 2025: 188MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 188MQ2 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+382K shares
1 year+0.3%+526K shares
3 years-0.8%-1.5M shares
5 years+11%+19.4M shares
Available history+12%+19.5M shares

GSM has 189M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GSM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ2 2026: 23.0x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ2 2026: 23.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202623.0xHigh
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 20240.4xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20230.8xVery low
Q3 20230.5xVery low

GSM's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

GSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic24.5Neutral

GSM's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

GSM PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricGSMSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

GSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.7619% below
20 week MA$3.8320% below
50 week MA$4.2328% below
100 week MA$4.1326% below
200 week MA$4.5533% below

GSM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

GSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.93$1.54+66%
2021$1.54$6.44+318%
2022$6.44$3.90-39%
2023$3.90$6.51+67%
2024$6.51$3.78-42%
2025$3.78$4.72+25%
2026 YTD$4.72$3.05-35%

GSM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +318% in 2021 to −42% in 2024. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

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