GSBC

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.

45
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GSBC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over GSBC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GSBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GSBC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GSBC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

GSBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.4x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$51.58-37%
Fair11x$61.04-25%
Expensive12x$66.65-18%
Current14x$81.28—
Forward14x$81.28—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GSBC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

GSBC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect GSBC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over GSBC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

GSBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$92.31
Downside-16%$67.99

Calculated from the latest close: $81.28 on Nov 12.

GSBC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GSBC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GSBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.61Q1 2024: $5.07Q2 2024: $5.00Q3 2024: $5.08Q4 2024: $5.26Q1 2025: $5.60Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $6.02Q4 2025: $6.19Q1 2026: $6.30Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $5.72Forward: $5.84
Q4 2023: $5.61Q1 2024: $5.07Q2 2024: $5.00Q3 2024: $5.08Q4 2024: $5.26Q1 2025: $5.60Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $6.02Q4 2025: $6.19Q1 2026: $6.30Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $5.72Forward: $5.84
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.84+2.1%
Q3 2026$5.72-5%
Q2 2026$6.01+2.4%
Q1 2026$6.30+13%
Q4 2025$6.19+18%
Q3 2025$6.02+19%
Q2 2025$5.87+17%
Q1 2025$5.60+10%
Q4 2024$5.26-6.2%

GSBC earned $5.72 per share over the past year, down 5% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over GSBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GSBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$53.7M-7.2%
Q2 2026$56.9M-3.9%
Q1 2026$55.4M-1%
Q4 2025$56.4M-0.2%
Q3 2025$57.8M+5.2%
Q2 2025$59.2M+4.5%
Q1 2025$55.9M+8.3%
Q4 2024$56.5M+9.2%

GSBC's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $54M last quarter, down 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over GSBC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GSBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.8M+492%
Q2 2026$2.7M-92%
Q1 2026$19.9M+52%
Q4 2025$18.2M+118%
Q3 2025$3.9M-77%
Q2 2025$34.9M-17%
Q1 2025$13.1M+$40.8M
Q4 2024$8.4M-79%

GSBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GSBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-29K shares
1 year-4.3%-485K shares
3 years-9.1%-1.1M shares
5 years-21%-2.9M shares

GSBC has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

GSBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -2.7xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -2.7xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

GSBC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

GSBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.9Neutral
Stochastic66.7Neutral

GSBC's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

GSBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSBCSector medianRelative
PE14x13x9.1% above
PE %1006337 pts above

GSBC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GSBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$79.72% above
20 week MA$79.62.2% above
50 week MA$71.514% above
100 week MA$64.925% above
200 week MA$59.736% above

GSBC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

GSBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.5$50.0-21%
2021$50.0$58.9+18%
2022$58.9$60.4+2.7%
2023$60.4$59.4-1.8%
2024$59.4$60.0+1.1%
2025$60.0$62.6+4.3%
2026 YTD$62.6$81.3+30%

GSBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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