GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over XP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

XP

XP Inc.

55
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

XP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

XP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

XP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like XP.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

XP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.3x$15.04—
Cheap10x$18.35+22%
Fair15x$27.61+84%
Expensive59x$106+606%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XP has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over XP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

XP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for XP, with profitability holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GS and XP's risk to reward.

XP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $15.04 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GS and XP's risk to reward.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over XP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

XP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.19Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.81
Q3 2023: $1.19Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.39Q3 2024: $1.43Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $1.55Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $1.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.81+11%
Q1 2026$1.76+14%
Q4 2025$1.74+18%
Q3 2025$1.68+17%
Q2 2025$1.63+17%
Q1 2025$1.55+15%
Q4 2024$1.48+16%
Q3 2024$1.43+20%

XP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.81 over the past year, up 11% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over XP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

XP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $770MQ4 2023: $731MQ1 2024: $749MQ2 2024: $835MQ3 2024: $780MQ4 2024: $851MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $785MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $894M
Q3 2023: $770MQ4 2023: $731MQ1 2024: $749MQ2 2024: $835MQ3 2024: $780MQ4 2024: $851MQ1 2025: $773MQ2 2025: $785MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $906MQ1 2026: $826MQ2 2026: $894M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$894.2M+14%
Q1 2026$826.4M+6.9%
Q4 2025$906.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$822.2M+5.5%
Q2 2025$784.5M-6%
Q1 2025$773.3M+3.3%
Q4 2024$850.9M+16%
Q3 2024$779.6M+1.3%

XP's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $894M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

XP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$254MQ4 2023: $749MQ1 2024: −$607MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: −$475MQ2 2025: $832MQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: −$437MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $2B
Q3 2023: −$254MQ4 2023: $749MQ1 2024: −$607MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $818MQ4 2024: $679MQ1 2025: −$475MQ2 2025: $832MQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: −$437MQ1 2026: $124MQ2 2026: $2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2B+139%
Q1 2026$124.3M+$599.5M
Q4 2025-$437.1M-164%
Q3 2025$2.2B+166%
Q2 2025$832.5M-22%
Q1 2025-$475.2M+$132.3M
Q4 2024$679M-9.3%
Q3 2024$818M+$1.1B

XP has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over XP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 554MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 551MQ3 2024: 546MQ4 2024: 540MQ1 2025: 540MQ2 2025: 536MQ3 2025: 535MQ4 2025: 520MQ1 2026: 525MQ2 2026: 521M
Q3 2023: 554MQ4 2023: 554MQ1 2024: 548MQ2 2024: 551MQ3 2024: 546MQ4 2024: 540MQ1 2025: 540MQ2 2025: 536MQ3 2025: 535MQ4 2025: 520MQ1 2026: 525MQ2 2026: 521M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.8M shares
1 year-2.8%-15.3M shares
3 years-2.1%-11M shares
5 years-9%-51.7M shares
Available history-5.7%-31.3M shares

XP has 521M diluted shares, down 2.8% from a year ago, with $359M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over XP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

XP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 8.5xQ4 2023: 13.5xQ1 2024: 9.2xQ2 2024: 8.8xQ3 2024: 8.0xQ4 2024: 17.6xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 10.2xQ3 2025: 9.7xQ4 2025: 11.9xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 12.9x
Q3 2023: 8.5xQ4 2023: 13.5xQ1 2024: 9.2xQ2 2024: 8.8xQ3 2024: 8.0xQ4 2024: 17.6xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 10.2xQ3 2025: 9.7xQ4 2025: 11.9xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 12.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202612.9xHigh
Q1 202612.8xHigh
Q4 202511.9xHigh
Q3 20259.7xHigh
Q2 202510.2xHigh
Q1 20258.4xHigh
Q4 202417.6xHigh
Q3 20248.0xHigh

XP's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 10 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like XP.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

XP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

XP's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

XP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricXPSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %26361 pts below

XP has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over XP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.333% below
20 week MA$19.422% below
50 week MA$18.719% below
100 week MA$17.614% below
200 week MA$18.820% below

XP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over XP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$37.7$38.5+2.1%
2020$38.5$41.4+7.4%
2021$41.4$29.8-28%
2022$29.8$15.5-48%
2023$15.5$26.1+68%
2024$26.1$12.1-54%
2025$12.1$16.4+36%
2026 YTD$16.4$15.0-8.5%

XP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 8.5% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key