GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.

66
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

WTM has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

WTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WTM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WTM.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

WTM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE772x1543x2315x3086x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE772x1543x2315x3086x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$1,792-20%
Current6x$2,247—
Fair8.2x$3,092+38%
Expensive24x$9,021+302%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WTM has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WTM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WTM to show an outlook.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails WTM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$2,608.61
Downside-10%$2,019.92

Calculated from the latest close: $2,246.52 on Nov 12.

WTM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

WTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $198.60Q1 2024: $221.10Q2 2024: $192.21Q3 2024: $252.70Q4 2024: $89.79Q1 2025: $10.65Q2 2025: $79.64Q3 2025: $54.14Q4 2025: $430.14Q1 2026: $404.36Q2 2026: $437.19Q3 2026: $375.30
Q4 2023: $198.60Q1 2024: $221.10Q2 2024: $192.21Q3 2024: $252.70Q4 2024: $89.79Q1 2025: $10.65Q2 2025: $79.64Q3 2025: $54.14Q4 2025: $430.14Q1 2026: $404.36Q2 2026: $437.19Q3 2026: $375.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$375.30+593%
Q2 2026$437.19+449%
Q1 2026$404.36+3697%
Q4 2025$430.14+379%
Q3 2025$54.14-79%
Q2 2025$79.64-59%
Q1 2025$10.65-95%
Q4 2024$89.79-55%

WTM earned $375.30 per share over the past year, about seven times what it earned the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over WTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $737MQ1 2024: $647MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $578MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $864MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $845MQ3 2026: $641M
Q4 2023: $737MQ1 2024: $647MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $578MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $864MQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $518MQ2 2026: $845MQ3 2026: $641M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$641.1M-26%
Q2 2026$844.6M+23%
Q1 2026$517.8M-10%
Q4 2025$1.6B+348%
Q3 2025$864.2M+3%
Q2 2025$689.2M+74%
Q1 2025$577.8M-11%
Q4 2024$358M-51%

WTM's revenue is growing: $641M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

WTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $217MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $359MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $357M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $217MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $64MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $359MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $357M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$356.6M-0.8%
Q2 2026-$55.5M-131%
Q1 2026$30.5M+$70.7M
Q4 2025$53.9M-16%
Q3 2025$359.3M+33%
Q2 2025$177.5M-18%
Q1 2025-$40.2M-210%
Q4 2024$64.1M+162%

WTM has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

WTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-52.5K shares
1 year-7.4%-187K shares
3 years-6.7%-168K shares
5 years-23%-697K shares
Available history-25%-786K shares

WTM has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over WTM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WTM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20240.9xVery low

WTM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WTM.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic75.8Neutral

WTM's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

WTM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWTMSector medianRelative
PE6x13x54% below
PE %396324 pts below

WTM has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

WTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2,156.74.2% above
20 week MA$2,143.84.8% above
50 week MA$2,134.05.3% above
100 week MA$1,986.913% above
200 week MA$1,803.225% above

WTM has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

WTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1,098.0$985.8-10%
2021$985.8$1,012.4+2.7%
2022$1,012.4$1,394.8+38%
2023$1,394.8$1,505.0+7.9%
2024$1,505.0$1,918.7+27%
2025$1,918.7$2,062.3+7.5%
2026 YTD$2,062.3$2,246.5+8.9%

WTM has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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