GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over WAL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

WAL

Western Alliance Bancorporation

57
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

WAL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

WAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WAL's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WAL.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over WAL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.1x10x15x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.2x$65.13-12%
Forward7.2x$74.39—
Current8.2x$74.39—
Fair9.4x$84.88+14%
Expensive13x$118+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAL's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

WAL has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails WAL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$98.72
Downside-16%$62.31

Calculated from the latest close: $74.39 on Nov 12.

WAL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over WAL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
Q4 2023: $6.54Q1 2024: $6.86Q2 2024: $6.65Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $7.09Q1 2025: $7.28Q2 2025: $7.60Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $8.73Q1 2026: $8.59Q2 2026: $8.88Q3 2026: $9.05Forward: $10.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.33+14%
Q3 2026$9.05+12%
Q2 2026$8.88+17%
Q1 2026$8.59+18%
Q4 2025$8.73+23%
Q3 2025$8.08+25%
Q2 2025$7.60+14%
Q1 2025$7.28+6.1%
Q4 2024$7.09+8.4%

WAL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $9.05 over the past year, up 12% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

WAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $682MQ1 2024: $729MQ2 2024: $772MQ3 2024: $823MQ4 2024: $838MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $846MQ3 2025: $938MQ4 2025: $981MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $996MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+8.1%
Q2 2026$995.7M+18%
Q1 2026$1B+31%
Q4 2025$980.9M+17%
Q3 2025$938.2M+14%
Q2 2025$845.9M+9.6%
Q1 2025$778M+6.8%
Q4 2024$838.4M+23%

WAL's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

WAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: −$307MQ2 2024: −$746MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: −$622MQ1 2025: −$1.7BQ2 2025: −$358MQ3 2025: −$597MQ4 2025: −$70MQ1 2026: −$507MQ2 2026: −$356MQ3 2026: $770M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$769.9M+$1.4B
Q2 2026-$356.1M+$1.6M
Q1 2026-$507.2M+$1.1B
Q4 2025-$69.8M+$551.9M
Q3 2025-$597.4M+$470.6M
Q2 2025-$357.7M+$388.1M
Q1 2025-$1.7B-$1.3B
Q4 2024-$621.7M-282%

WAL has the edge over GS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over WAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 110MQ2 2025: 110MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-200K shares
1 year-1.8%-2M shares
3 years-0.6%-700K shares
5 years+3.8%+3.9M shares
Available history+4.5%+4.7M shares

WAL has 108M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $203M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over WAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.8xElevated
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20244.8xHigh

WAL's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAL.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic30.1Neutral

WAL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

WAL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWALSector medianRelative
PE8.2x13x37% below
PE %266337 pts below

WAL has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over WAL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.61.7% below
20 week MA$78.75.5% below
50 week MA$80.57.6% below
100 week MA$80.37.4% below
200 week MA$70.16.2% above

WAL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 6.2% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over WAL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.0$59.9+5.1%
2021$59.9$105.7+76%
2022$105.7$58.1-45%
2023$58.1$65.8+13%
2024$65.8$83.7+27%
2025$83.7$86.6+3.4%
2026 YTD$86.6$74.4-14%

WAL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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