GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over WAFD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WAFD

WaFd, Inc.

52
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

WAFD has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

WAFD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

WAFD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WAFD.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

WAFD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$27.59-5.7%
Forward8.9x$29.27—
Current9.1x$29.27—
Fair11x$35.52+21%
Expensive14x$44.57+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAFD has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over WAFD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

WAFD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WAFD's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WAFD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WAFD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$33.55
Downside-13%$25.58

Calculated from the latest close: $29.27 on Nov 12.

WAFD trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

WAFD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $2.63Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.16Forward: $3.28
Q3 2025: $2.63Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.16Forward: $3.28

WAFD and GS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over WAFD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WAFD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $178MQ4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $180MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $188MQ4 2025: $191MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $206M
Q3 2023: $178MQ4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $172MQ2 2024: $194MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $180MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $188MQ4 2025: $191MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $206M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$205.5M+10%
Q1 2026$197.4M+9.8%
Q4 2025$191.4M+12%
Q3 2025$188.3M-0.2%
Q2 2025$186.3M-4.2%
Q1 2025$179.8M+4.5%
Q4 2024$171.1M+2.8%
Q3 2024$188.7M+6%

WAFD's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $206M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

WAFD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $63M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $50MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$63.4M+19%
Q1 2026$68M+2.1%
Q4 2025$50M+16%
Q3 2025$45.6M-49%
Q2 2025$53.1M-8.9%
Q1 2025$66.6M-60%
Q4 2024$43M-58%
Q2 2024$58.3M+189%

WAFD has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

WAFD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 65MQ4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 74M
Q3 2023: 65MQ4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-1.5M shares
1 year-7.3%-5.9M shares
3 years+14%+8.8M shares
5 years+3%+2.1M shares
Available history-8%-6.4M shares

WAFD has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over WAFD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WAFD Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -3.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -3.3xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -3.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -3.3xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: -2.6xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

WAFD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WAFD.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WAFD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.2Oversold
Stochastic12.3Oversold

WAFD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

WAFD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWAFDSector medianRelative
PE9.1x13x30% below
PE %216342 pts below

WAFD has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over WAFD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WAFD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.81.7% below
20 week MA$33.813% below
50 week MA$33.713% below
100 week MA$31.77.5% below
200 week MA$31.05.5% below

WAFD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.5% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over WAFD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WAFD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.8$25.6-31%
2021$25.6$33.0+29%
2022$33.0$34.1+3.3%
2023$34.1$33.0-3.2%
2024$33.0$32.6-1.1%
2025$32.6$33.1+1.4%
2026 YTD$33.1$29.3-11%

WAFD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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