GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TREE

LendingTree, Inc.

64
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

TREE has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

TREE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TREE's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TREE.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over TREE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TREE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE113x226x339x452x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE113x226x339x452x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.3x$23.41-34%
Current5x$35.31—
Forward5.5x$35.31—
Fair26x$184+421%
Expensive157x$1,107+3035%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TREE's PE is in its cheap range at 5.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.5x.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over TREE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

TREE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TREE, with profitability improving.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TREE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TREE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$48.11
Downside-47%$18.59

Calculated from the latest close: $35.31 on Nov 12.

TREE trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

TREE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-9.46Q1 2024: $-10.42Q2 2024: $-9.83Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-3.14Q1 2025: $-4.14Q2 2025: $-4.07Q3 2025: $1.00Q4 2025: $10.78Q1 2026: $12.92Q2 2026: $12.95Q3 2026: $7.07Forward: $6.42
Q4 2023: $-9.46Q1 2024: $-10.42Q2 2024: $-9.83Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-3.14Q1 2025: $-4.14Q2 2025: $-4.07Q3 2025: $1.00Q4 2025: $10.78Q1 2026: $12.92Q2 2026: $12.95Q3 2026: $7.07Forward: $6.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.42-9.1%
Q3 2026$7.07+607%
Q2 2026$12.95+$17.02
Q1 2026$12.92+$17.06
Q4 2025$10.78+$13.92
Q3 2025$1.00+$3.74
Q2 2025-$4.07+$5.76
Q1 2025-$4.14+$6.28
Q4 2024-$3.14+$6.32

TREE's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.07 over the past year, about seven times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

TREE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $261MQ4 2024: $262MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $308MQ4 2025: $320MQ1 2026: $327MQ2 2026: $313MQ3 2026: $344M
Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $261MQ4 2024: $262MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $250MQ3 2025: $308MQ4 2025: $320MQ1 2026: $327MQ2 2026: $313MQ3 2026: $344M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$343.6M+12%
Q2 2026$313.4M+25%
Q1 2026$327.3M+37%
Q4 2025$319.7M+22%
Q3 2025$307.8M+18%
Q2 2025$250.1M+19%
Q1 2025$239.7M+43%
Q4 2024$261.5M+95%

TREE has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

TREE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.8M+28%
Q2 2026$26M+3.1%
Q1 2026$8.8M+$12.4M
Q4 2025$13.5M+0.8%
Q3 2025$25.6M-40%
Q2 2025$25.2M+$32.9M
Q1 2025-$3.6M-222%
Q4 2024$13.4M-27%

TREE has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over TREE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TREE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-14K shares
1 year+0.4%+52K shares
3 years+8.1%+1M shares
5 years+5.8%+772K shares
Available history-4%-579K shares

TREE has 14M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over TREE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TREE Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 294.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 7.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 11.6x
Q2 2024: 294.5xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 7.6xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 11.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202611.6xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20257.6xHigh
Q4 20245.8xHigh

TREE's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TREE.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

TREE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

TREE's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

TREE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTREESector medianRelative
PE5x13x62% below
PE %256338 pts below

TREE has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over TREE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TREE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.425% above
20 week MA$32.010% above
50 week MA$40.112% below
100 week MA$44.521% below
200 week MA$39.19.7% below

TREE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 9.7% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over TREE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TREE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$294.4$277.5-5.8%
2021$277.5$125.9-55%
2022$125.9$18.9-85%
2023$18.9$30.3+60%
2024$30.3$39.3+29%
2025$39.3$54.4+39%
2026 YTD$54.4$35.3-35%

TREE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

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