GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 19% and its operating margin rose 4 points to 40%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

SPNT

SiriusPoint Ltd.

64
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SPNT's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 9 points to 18% and revenue grew 18%. At 6.6x earnings, it's trading below its usual 7.8x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SPNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SPNT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SPNT.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over SPNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SPNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$14.23-47%
Current6.6x$26.81—
Fair7.8x$31.56+18%
Forward9.9x$26.81—
Expensive19x$78.26+192%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPNT's PE is in its fair range at 6.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.9x.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over SPNT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

SPNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SPNT's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPNT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$32.02
Downside-16%$22.58

Calculated from the latest close: $26.81 on Nov 12.

SPNT trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

SPNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.95Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $1.57Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $3.64Q1 2026: $3.97Q2 2026: $4.05Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $1.95Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $1.57Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $3.64Q1 2026: $3.97Q2 2026: $4.05Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72-33%
Q3 2026$4.06+143%
Q2 2026$4.05+318%
Q1 2026$3.97+282%
Q4 2025$3.64+250%
Q3 2025$1.67+6.4%
Q2 2025$0.97-48%
Q1 2025$1.04-37%
Q4 2024$1.04-47%

SPNT earned $4.06 per share over the past year, up 143% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over SPNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $686MQ2 2024: $743MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $613MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $748MQ3 2025: $756MQ4 2025: $974MQ1 2026: $775MQ2 2026: $744MQ3 2026: $868M
Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $686MQ2 2024: $743MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $613MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $748MQ3 2025: $756MQ4 2025: $974MQ1 2026: $775MQ2 2026: $744MQ3 2026: $868M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$867.6M+15%
Q2 2026$744.1M-0.5%
Q1 2026$774.6M+6.5%
Q4 2025$973.7M+59%
Q3 2025$755.9M+34%
Q2 2025$748.2M+0.7%
Q1 2025$727.3M+6.1%
Q4 2024$612.8M-5.1%

SPNT's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $868M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SPNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $156MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $156MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$170M+9.3%
Q2 2026-$5.2M-108%
Q1 2026$141.9M+$230.8M
Q4 2025-$26.4M-125%
Q3 2025$155.6M+168%
Q2 2025$62.1M+$209M
Q1 2025-$88.9M-259%
Q4 2024$107.7M-50%

SPNT has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SPNT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 174MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 117M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 174MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 117M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.4%-1.7M shares
3 years-30%-51.3M shares
5 years-27%-43.1M shares
Available history+26%+24.5M shares

SPNT has 117M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago, with $101M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SPNT Net Leverage

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SPNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.5Neutral
Stochastic84.7Overbought

SPNT's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

SPNT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSPNTSector medianRelative
PE6.6x13x49% below
PE %386325 pts below

SPNT has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

SPNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.64.8% above
20 week MA$24.88.1% above
50 week MA$23.017% above
100 week MA$20.332% above
200 week MA$15.870% above

SPNT has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

SPNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.5$9.26-12%
2021$9.26$8.25-11%
2022$8.25$6.25-24%
2023$6.25$11.6+86%
2024$11.6$14.2+23%
2025$14.2$22.3+57%
2026 YTD$22.3$26.8+20%

SPNT has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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