GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SPGI

S&P Global Inc.

65
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

SPGI has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SPGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SPGI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SPGI.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SPGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$469—
Cheap28x$474+1.2%
Current28x$469—
Fair36x$613+31%
Expensive48x$807+72%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPGI has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SPGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect SPGI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails SPGI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$554.68
Downside-12%$414.10

Calculated from the latest close: $468.51 on Nov 12.

SPGI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over SPGI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SPGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.23Q1 2024: $8.92Q2 2024: $10.55Q3 2024: $11.33Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $12.73Q2 2025: $13.00Q3 2025: $13.75Q4 2025: $14.66Q1 2026: $15.81Q2 2026: $16.43Q3 2026: $16.82Forward: $19.42
Q4 2023: $8.23Q1 2024: $8.92Q2 2024: $10.55Q3 2024: $11.33Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $12.73Q2 2025: $13.00Q3 2025: $13.75Q4 2025: $14.66Q1 2026: $15.81Q2 2026: $16.43Q3 2026: $16.82Forward: $19.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.42+15%
Q3 2026$16.82+22%
Q2 2026$16.43+26%
Q1 2026$15.81+24%
Q4 2025$14.66+19%
Q3 2025$13.75+21%
Q2 2025$13.00+23%
Q1 2025$12.73+43%
Q4 2024$12.35+50%

SPGI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $16.82 over the past year, up 22% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over SPGI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SPGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.6BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.6BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-5.4%
Q2 2026$4.1B+10%
Q1 2026$4.2B+10%
Q4 2025$3.9B+9%
Q3 2025$3.9B+8.8%
Q2 2025$3.8B+5.8%
Q1 2025$3.8B+8.2%
Q4 2024$3.6B+14%

SPGI's revenue is growing: $3.7B last quarter, down 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SPGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $924MQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $910MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $924MQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $910MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-21%
Q2 2026$1.4B+1.2%
Q1 2026$1B+11%
Q4 2025$1.7B-0.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3.5%
Q2 2025$1.4B-9.2%
Q1 2025$910M-1.5%
Q4 2024$1.7B+33%

SPGI has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SPGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 319MQ1 2024: 314MQ2 2024: 313MQ3 2024: 312MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 308MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 305MQ4 2025: 305MQ1 2026: 298MQ2 2026: 296MQ3 2026: 292M
Q4 2023: 319MQ1 2024: 314MQ2 2024: 313MQ3 2024: 312MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 308MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 305MQ4 2025: 305MQ1 2026: 298MQ2 2026: 296MQ3 2026: 292M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-3.9M shares
1 year-4.2%-12.9M shares
3 years-8.3%-26.4M shares
5 years+21%+49.9M shares
Available history+18%+44.7M shares

SPGI has 292M diluted shares, down 4.2% from a year ago, with $6.6B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over SPGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SPGI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

SPGI's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SPGI.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SPGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic85.6Overbought

SPGI's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over SPGI on valuation relative to its sector.

SPGI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSPGISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %156348 pts below

SPGI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

SPGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$435.07.7% above
20 week MA$430.09% above
50 week MA$442.26% above
100 week MA$475.51.5% below
200 week MA$448.64.4% above

SPGI has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over SPGI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SPGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$274.3$316.6+15%
2021$316.6$473.7+50%
2022$473.7$332.9-30%
2023$332.9$440.5+32%
2024$440.5$501.8+14%
2025$501.8$529.5+5.5%
2026 YTD$529.5$468.5-12%

SPGI has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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