GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over SCM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SCM

Stellus Capital Investment Corporation

40
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SCM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

SCM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SCM's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SCM.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over SCM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SCM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.3x$6.67—
Cheap7x$4.07-39%
Fair10x$5.85-12%
Current12x$6.67—
Expensive20x$11.34+70%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SCM's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.3x, in its cheap range.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SCM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Decline
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SCM's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SCM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SCM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$8.35
Downside-20%$5.32

Calculated from the latest close: $6.67 on Nov 12.

SCM trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over SCM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SCM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $1.10Q2 2024: $1.28Q3 2024: $1.98Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $1.43Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $0.95Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.05
Q4 2023: $0.80Q1 2024: $1.10Q2 2024: $1.28Q3 2024: $1.98Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $1.43Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.08Q4 2025: $0.95Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.05+82%
Q3 2026$0.58-46%
Q2 2026$1.03-28%
Q1 2026$0.83-42%
Q4 2025$0.95-47%
Q3 2025$1.08-45%
Q2 2025$1.44+13%
Q1 2025$1.43+30%
Q4 2024$1.79+124%

SCM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.58 over the past year, against $3.54 in early 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 23% for GS versus down 25% for SCM.

SCM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$8.7M-25%
Q1 2022$11.8M+2.2%
Q4 2021$17.9M-17%
Q3 2021$20.4M+56%
Q2 2021$11.6M-74%
Q4 2020$21.6M+199%

SCM's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $9M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SCM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $957,104
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $957,104
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$957.1K+$21.2M
Q2 2026$33.4M+41%
Q1 2026$22.8M+$59.7M
Q4 2025$9M+$40.8M
Q3 2025-$20.2M-272%
Q2 2025$23.7M+$36.8M
Q1 2025-$36.9M-928%
Q4 2024-$31.8M-226%

SCM has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over SCM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SCM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-403K shares
1 year-0.1%-14.8K shares
3 years+25%+5.6M shares
5 years+46%+9M shares
Available history+47%+9M shares

SCM has 28M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

SCM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202216.8xHigh
Q1 202214.5xHigh
Q4 202112.8xHigh
Q3 202111.7xHigh
Q2 202113.9xHigh
Q1 20216.2xHigh
Q4 202017.7xHigh
Q3 202054.9xHigh

SCM's net debt is about 17 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 14 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SCM.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SCM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.6Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

SCM's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

SCM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSCMSector medianRelative
PE12x13x12% below
PE %60633 pts below

SCM has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over SCM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SCM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.116.2% below
20 week MA$7.7614% below
50 week MA$9.4129% below
100 week MA$11.542% below
200 week MA$12.747% below

SCM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over SCM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SCM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$10.7-26%
2021$10.7$13.0+21%
2022$13.0$13.0+0.5%
2023$13.0$12.9-1.4%
2024$12.9$13.8+7%
2025$13.8$12.6-8.6%
2026 YTD$12.6$6.67-47%

SCM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 47% so far in 2026.

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