GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over PRU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PRU

Prudential Financial, Inc.

59
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PRU has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

PRU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PRU's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PRU.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over PRU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PRU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1001x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1001x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$83.42-32%
Forward9.2x$122—
Current11x$122—
Fair15x$161+31%
Expensive31x$339+177%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRU's PE is in its fair range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.2x, in its cheap range.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PRU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PRU's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PRU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$141.07
Downside-13%$106.22

Calculated from the latest close: $122.41 on Nov 12.

PRU trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over PRU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.69Q1 2024: $5.88Q2 2024: $7.78Q3 2024: $11.25Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $6.34Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $7.31Q4 2025: $9.99Q1 2026: $9.71Q2 2026: $11.03Q3 2026: $10.98Forward: $13.31
Q4 2023: $6.69Q1 2024: $5.88Q2 2024: $7.78Q3 2024: $11.25Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $6.34Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $7.31Q4 2025: $9.99Q1 2026: $9.71Q2 2026: $11.03Q3 2026: $10.98Forward: $13.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.31+21%
Q3 2026$10.98+50%
Q2 2026$11.03+143%
Q1 2026$9.71+53%
Q4 2025$9.99+33%
Q3 2025$7.31-35%
Q2 2025$4.54-42%
Q1 2025$6.34+7.8%
Q4 2024$7.50+12%

PRU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $10.98 over the past year, against $19.51 in late 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over PRU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.1BQ1 2024: $23.5BQ2 2024: $14.9BQ3 2024: $19.5BQ4 2024: $12.5BQ1 2025: $13.5BQ2 2025: $13.7BQ3 2025: $17.9BQ4 2025: $15.7BQ1 2026: $15.5BQ2 2026: $15.7BQ3 2026: $14.4B
Q4 2023: $15.1BQ1 2024: $23.5BQ2 2024: $14.9BQ3 2024: $19.5BQ4 2024: $12.5BQ1 2025: $13.5BQ2 2025: $13.7BQ3 2025: $17.9BQ4 2025: $15.7BQ1 2026: $15.5BQ2 2026: $15.7BQ3 2026: $14.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.4B-19%
Q2 2026$15.7B+14%
Q1 2026$15.5B+15%
Q4 2025$15.7B+25%
Q3 2025$17.9B-8.2%
Q2 2025$13.7B-7.8%
Q1 2025$13.5B-43%
Q4 2024$12.5B-17%

PRU's revenue is growing: $14.4B last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

PRU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: −$146MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: −$2.5BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: −$146MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: −$2.5BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $4.3BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B-8.4%
Q2 2026$2.3B+102%
Q1 2026$1B+$3.5B
Q4 2025$3.3B+43%
Q3 2025$4.3B+289%
Q2 2025$1.2B+$1.3B
Q1 2025-$2.5B-148%
Q4 2024$2.3B+111%

PRU has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over PRU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PRU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 359MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 356MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 353MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 349MQ2 2026: 348MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 361MQ2 2024: 361MQ3 2024: 359MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 356MQ2 2025: 355MQ3 2025: 353MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 349MQ2 2026: 348MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.7M shares
1 year-1.9%-6.6M shares
3 years-4.5%-16.2M shares
5 years-10%-40.4M shares
Available history-16%-64.5M shares

PRU has 346M diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $1B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over PRU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PRU Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 0.5xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2024: 0.5xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 20233.4xElevated
Q2 20233.8xElevated
Q1 202311.2xHigh
Q3 20221.1xHealthy
Q2 20222.0xHealthy
Q1 20221.0xHealthy

PRU's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PRU.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

PRU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic48.9Neutral

PRU's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

PRU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPRUSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %426321 pts below

PRU has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

PRU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.84.8% above
20 week MA$118.53.3% above
50 week MA$110.011% above
100 week MA$108.713% above
200 week MA$106.515% above

PRU has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

PRU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.2$76.7-18%
2021$76.7$108.3+41%
2022$108.3$99.6-8%
2023$99.6$103.7+4.2%
2024$103.7$119.1+15%
2025$119.1$114.0-4.3%
2026 YTD$114.0$122.4+7.4%

PRU has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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