GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLMR

Palomar Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

PLMR has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

PLMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PLMR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PLMR.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PLMR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE82x164x246x328x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$158—
Cheap20x$163+2.7%
Current20x$158—
Fair27x$217+37%
Expensive89x$710+349%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLMR has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLMR, with profitability holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails PLMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$206.81
Downside-17%$131.15

Calculated from the latest close: $158.31 on Nov 12.

PLMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over PLMR on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PLMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.13Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $3.80Q3 2024: $4.22Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $5.01Q2 2025: $5.69Q3 2025: $6.41Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $7.17Q2 2026: $7.43Q3 2026: $7.98Forward: $11.23
Q4 2023: $3.13Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $3.80Q3 2024: $4.22Q4 2024: $4.48Q1 2025: $5.01Q2 2025: $5.69Q3 2025: $6.41Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $7.17Q2 2026: $7.43Q3 2026: $7.98Forward: $11.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.23+41%
Q3 2026$7.98+24%
Q2 2026$7.43+31%
Q1 2026$7.17+43%
Q4 2025$7.17+60%
Q3 2025$6.41+52%
Q2 2025$5.69+50%
Q1 2025$5.01+44%
Q4 2024$4.48+43%

PLMR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.98 over the past year, up 24% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $131MQ3 2024: $149MQ4 2024: $156MQ1 2025: $175MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $245MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $279MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $387M
Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $131MQ3 2024: $149MQ4 2024: $156MQ1 2025: $175MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $245MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $279MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $387M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$386.6M+58%
Q2 2026$314.4M+55%
Q1 2026$278.9M+60%
Q4 2025$253.4M+63%
Q3 2025$244.7M+65%
Q2 2025$203.3M+55%
Q1 2025$174.6M+47%
Q4 2024$155.8M+48%

PLMR has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

PLMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $121MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $33MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $121MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$120.5M+44%
Q2 2026$166.8M+38%
Q1 2026$47M-46%
Q4 2025$117.4M+62%
Q3 2025$83.6M-16%
Q1 2025$87.1M+163%
Q4 2024$72.6M+226%
Q3 2024$100.1M+42%

PLMR has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over PLMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-61K shares
1 year-1.6%-451K shares
3 years+6.9%+1.8M shares
5 years+3.7%+952K shares
Available history+24%+5.2M shares

PLMR has 27M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $73M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

PLMR Net Leverage

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

PLMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.6Neutral
Stochastic84.4Overbought

PLMR's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over PLMR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLMR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPLMRSector medianRelative
PE20x13x52% above
PE %136350 pts below

PLMR is trading at 20x earnings, a 52% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

PLMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$139.613% above
20 week MA$136.416% above
50 week MA$127.924% above
100 week MA$128.923% above
200 week MA$99.559% above

PLMR has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

PLMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.6$91.2+80%
2021$91.2$64.7-29%
2022$64.7$46.2-29%
2023$46.2$55.5+20%
2024$55.5$104.4+88%
2025$104.4$134.8+29%
2026 YTD$134.8$158.3+17%

PLMR has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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