GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over OTF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

OTF

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.

42
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

OTF trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

OTF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
N/A
N/A

OTF's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OTF.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

OTF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.1x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.1x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7x$5.86-38%
Forward7.2x$9.46—
Fair8.9x$7.48-21%
Current11x$9.46—
Expensive12x$9.77+3.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OTF has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OTF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OTF, but weaker profitability.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails OTF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OTF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$11.41
Downside-15%$8.01

Calculated from the latest close: $9.46 on Nov 12.

OTF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over OTF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OTF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.80Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $1.24Q3 2024: $1.53Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.41Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.76Q1 2026: $0.96Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.84Forward: $1.32
Q4 2023: $1.80Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $1.24Q3 2024: $1.53Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.41Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.76Q1 2026: $0.96Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.84Forward: $1.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.32+57%
Q3 2026$0.84-51%
Q2 2026$0.86-52%
Q1 2026$0.96-32%
Q4 2025$1.76+16%
Q3 2025$1.73+13%
Q2 2025$1.80+45%
Q1 2025$1.41-20%
Q4 2024$1.52-16%

OTF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.84 over the past year, against $1.80 in late 2023.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

OTF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

OTF and GS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over OTF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OTF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$154MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $542MQ2 2025: −$410MQ3 2025: $159MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$197MQ2 2026: −$317MQ3 2026: $182M
Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$154MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $542MQ2 2025: −$410MQ3 2025: $159MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$197MQ2 2026: −$317MQ3 2026: $182M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$181.6M+14%
Q2 2026-$316.7M+$93.5M
Q1 2026-$197.3M-136%
Q4 2025-$1.2B-846%
Q3 2025$158.7M+$312.3M
Q2 2025-$410.2M-$387.2M
Q1 2025$542.2M+586%
Q4 2024$161.7M-36%

OTF's free cash flow was −$1.5B over the past year, against $452M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OTF.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over OTF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OTF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 205MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 210MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 235MQ2 2025: 465MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 409MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 461MQ3 2026: 456M
Q4 2023: 205MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 210MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 235MQ2 2025: 465MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 409MQ1 2026: 464MQ2 2026: 461MQ3 2026: 456M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-4.7M shares
1 year-2.3%-10.5M shares
3 years+122%+251M shares

OTF has 456M diluted shares, down 2.3% from a year ago, with $225M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

OTF Net Leverage

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

OTF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic24.0Neutral

OTF's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

OTF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOTFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %751263 pts above

OTF has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has stronger trend alignment. GS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus OTF above 0 of 3.

OTF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.500.4% below
20 week MA$10.37.7% below
50 week MA$11.417% below

OTF is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 50-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over OTF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OTF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$16.0$14.1-12%
2026 YTD$14.1$9.46-33%

OTF has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 33% so far in 2026.

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