GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over OSBC overall, supported by stronger valuation.

OSBC

Old Second Bancorp, Inc.

59
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

OSBC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

OSBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

OSBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OSBC.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

OSBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$15.56-38%
Fair9.8x$20.78-17%
Forward11x$25.11—
Current12x$25.11—
Expensive14x$30.07+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSBC has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSBC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect OSBC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails OSBC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

OSBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$30.30
Downside-13%$21.79

Calculated from the latest close: $25.11 on Nov 12.

OSBC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over OSBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.02Q1 2024: $1.97Q2 2024: $1.89Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.87Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.51Q4 2025: $1.62Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.11Forward: $2.32
Q4 2023: $2.02Q1 2024: $1.97Q2 2024: $1.89Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.87Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.51Q4 2025: $1.62Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $2.11Forward: $2.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.32+10%
Q3 2026$2.11+40%
Q2 2026$1.73-5.5%
Q1 2026$1.67-8.7%
Q4 2025$1.62-13%
Q3 2025$1.51-18%
Q2 2025$1.83-3.2%
Q1 2025$1.83-7.1%
Q4 2024$1.87-7.4%

OSBC earned $2.11 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $97M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $97M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$97.1M+1.3%
Q2 2026$96.6M+29%
Q1 2026$93.8M+28%
Q4 2025$95.2M+30%
Q3 2025$95.9M+35%
Q2 2025$75.1M+6.1%
Q1 2025$73.1M+4%
Q4 2024$73.2M+4.6%

OSBC has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

OSBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $64M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $44MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.2M+85%
Q2 2026$27.9M+19%
Q1 2026$36.2M+123%
Q4 2025$43.4M+98%
Q3 2025$34.7M-25%
Q2 2025$23.5M+167%
Q1 2025$16.2M-63%
Q4 2024$21.8M-12%

OSBC has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

OSBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-975K shares
1 year-4.4%-2.4M shares
3 years+13%+5.7M shares
5 years+74%+21.8M shares
Available history+68%+20.7M shares

OSBC has 51M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $80M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over OSBC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OSBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xModerate
Q2 20262.0xModerate
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

OSBC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OSBC.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

OSBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic38.5Neutral

OSBC's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

OSBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOSBCSector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.6% below
PE %71638 pts above

OSBC has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

OSBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$24.71.7% above
20 week MA$24.81.5% above
50 week MA$22.313% above
100 week MA$19.926% above
200 week MA$17.445% above

OSBC has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

OSBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.5$9.97-26%
2021$9.97$12.6+27%
2022$12.6$16.6+31%
2023$16.6$15.4-7%
2024$15.4$17.8+16%
2025$17.8$19.9+12%
2026 YTD$19.9$25.1+26%

OSBC has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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