GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over NNI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NNI

Nelnet, Inc.

41
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

NNI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

NNI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NNI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NNI.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over NNI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NNI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$53.77-57%
Fair15x$110-12%
Forward15x$125—
Current16x$125—
Expensive26x$200+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NNI's PE is in its fair range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect NNI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NNI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NNI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$136.85
Downside-16%$105.18

Calculated from the latest close: $124.83 on Nov 12.

NNI trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NNI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.71Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.31Q2 2025: $9.05Q3 2025: $11.92Q4 2025: $11.79Q1 2026: $11.50Q2 2026: $8.38Q3 2026: $7.57Forward: $8.43
Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.71Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $3.05Q4 2024: $5.02Q1 2025: $5.31Q2 2025: $9.05Q3 2025: $11.92Q4 2025: $11.79Q1 2026: $11.50Q2 2026: $8.38Q3 2026: $7.57Forward: $8.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.43+11%
Q3 2026$7.57-36%
Q2 2026$8.38-7.4%
Q1 2026$11.50+117%
Q4 2025$11.79+135%
Q3 2025$11.92+291%
Q2 2025$9.05+116%
Q1 2025$5.31+43%
Q4 2024$5.02+105%

NNI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $7.57 over the past year, against $13.43 in late 2022.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

NNI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $101M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $101M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$101.4M+19%
Q2 2026$96M+21%
Q1 2026$101.6M+23%
Q4 2025$107.1M+34%
Q3 2025$85.3M+18%
Q2 2025$79.4M+20%
Q1 2025$82.7M+11%
Q4 2024$80.1M+15%

NNI has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

NNI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $123MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $123MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $101MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$187.9M+87%
Q2 2026$71.6M-8.3%
Q1 2026$61.6M-30%
Q4 2025$130.1M-34%
Q3 2025$100.8M-24%
Q2 2025$78.1M-36%
Q1 2025$87.8M-53%
Q4 2024$197.9M+239%

NNI has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over NNI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NNI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-192K shares
1 year-1.3%-471K shares
3 years-4.4%-1.7M shares
5 years-7.1%-2.8M shares
Available history-10%-4.2M shares

NNI has 36M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $110M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over NNI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NNI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 70.4xQ1 2024: 45.6xQ2 2024: 37.2xQ3 2024: 45.8xQ4 2024: 25.5xQ1 2025: 26.4xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 12.1xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 16.6xQ3 2026: 18.1x
Q4 2023: 70.4xQ1 2024: 45.6xQ2 2024: 37.2xQ3 2024: 45.8xQ4 2024: 25.5xQ1 2025: 26.4xQ2 2025: 15.7xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 12.1xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 16.6xQ3 2026: 18.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202618.1xHigh
Q2 202616.6xHigh
Q1 202612.8xHigh
Q4 202512.1xHigh
Q3 202512.2xHigh
Q2 202515.7xHigh
Q1 202526.4xHigh
Q4 202425.5xHigh

NNI's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 12 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NNI.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NNI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.5Neutral
Stochastic32.3Neutral

NNI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over NNI on valuation relative to its sector.

NNI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNNISector medianRelative
PE16x13x27% above
PE %57636 pts below

NNI is trading at 16x earnings, a 27% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over NNI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NNI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$125.20.3% below
20 week MA$128.42.8% below
50 week MA$130.44.3% below
100 week MA$124.30.5% above
200 week MA$110.713% above

NNI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 13% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over NNI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NNI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$68.7+17%
2021$68.7$97.6+42%
2022$97.6$89.6-8.2%
2023$89.6$88.2-1.5%
2024$88.2$106.2+20%
2025$106.2$135.7+28%
2026 YTD$135.7$124.8-8%

NNI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 8% so far in 2026.

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