GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over MSIF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MSIF

MSC Income Fund, Inc.

51
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MSIF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

MSIF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

MSIF's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSIF.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSIF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.4x$12.44—
Cheap7.8x$13.06+5%
Fair8.9x$14.90+20%
Forward8.9x$12.44—
Expensive10x$16.73+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSIF has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over MSIF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

MSIF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MSIF's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSIF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSIF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$14.86
Downside-16%$10.43

Calculated from the latest close: $12.44 on Nov 12.

MSIF trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over MSIF on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSIF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.72Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $1.42Q3 2025: $1.59Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.33Q2 2026: $1.63Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $1.39
Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.72Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $1.42Q3 2025: $1.59Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.33Q2 2026: $1.63Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $1.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.39-17%
Q3 2026$1.68+5.7%
Q2 2026$1.63+15%
Q1 2026$1.33+6.4%
Q4 2025$1.36+30%
Q3 2025$1.59+121%
Q2 2025$1.42+97%
Q1 2025$1.25+74%
Q4 2024$1.05+46%

MSIF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.68 over the past year, against $2.26 in mid-2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 23% for GS versus down 43% for MSIF.

MSIF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2022$13.1M-43%
Q3 2022$17.1M-6.1%
Q2 2022$3.7M-85%
Q1 2022$17.9M+8.9%
Q4 2021$23.1M+42%
Q3 2021$18.2M-55%
Q2 2021$24.7M+7.4%
Q4 2020$16.3M+230%

MSIF's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $13M last quarter, down 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over MSIF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSIF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.9M+117%
Q2 2026$16.9M-49%
Q1 2026-$18.4M+$54.1M
Q4 2025-$45.5M-$30.8M
Q3 2025$14.7M-44%
Q2 2025$32.9M+$61.2M
Q1 2025-$72.5M-$60.9M
Q4 2024-$14.7M-136%

MSIF's free cash flow was −$15M over the past year, against −$40M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over MSIF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSIF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-7.9K shares
1 year-4.2%-2M shares
3 years-44%-35M shares
5 years+13%+5.4M shares
Available history+15%+5.8M shares

MSIF has 45M diluted shares, down 4.2% from a year ago, with $26M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

MSIF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20228,292.9xHigh
Q4 20218,673.8xHigh
Q3 20217,131.8xHigh
Q2 20216,517.7xHigh

MSIF's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MSIF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic61.7Neutral

MSIF's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

MSIF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSIFSector medianRelative
PE7.4x13x43% below
PE %72417 pts below

MSIF has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

MSIF has stronger trend alignment. GS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus MSIF above 3 of 3.

MSIF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.03.9% above
20 week MA$12.03.5% above
50 week MA$12.40% above

MSIF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 0% above its 50-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over MSIF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSIF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$16.3$13.6-16%
2026 YTD$13.6$12.4-8.8%

MSIF has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 8.8% so far in 2026.

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