GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over MRSH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MRSH

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

57
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MRSH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

MRSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MRSH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MRSH.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MRSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$206—
Cheap24x$197-4.3%
Current25x$206—
Fair27x$229+12%
Expensive30x$254+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRSH has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MRSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

MRSH has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MRSH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MRSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$233.98
Downside-11%$183.07

Calculated from the latest close: $205.69 on Nov 12.

MRSH trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over MRSH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.53Q1 2024: $7.88Q2 2024: $8.08Q3 2024: $8.12Q4 2024: $8.18Q1 2025: $8.15Q2 2025: $8.33Q3 2025: $8.33Q4 2025: $8.43Q1 2026: $8.00Q2 2026: $8.18Q3 2026: $8.36Forward: $11.25
Q4 2023: $7.53Q1 2024: $7.88Q2 2024: $8.08Q3 2024: $8.12Q4 2024: $8.18Q1 2025: $8.15Q2 2025: $8.33Q3 2025: $8.33Q4 2025: $8.43Q1 2026: $8.00Q2 2026: $8.18Q3 2026: $8.36Forward: $11.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.25+35%
Q3 2026$8.36+0.4%
Q2 2026$8.18-1.8%
Q1 2026$8.00-1.8%
Q4 2025$8.43+3.1%
Q3 2025$8.33+2.6%
Q2 2025$8.33+3.1%
Q1 2025$8.15+3.4%
Q4 2024$8.18+8.6%

MRSH earned $8.36 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

MRSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $5.7BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $6.6BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $6.9B
Q4 2023: $5.6BQ1 2024: $6.5BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $5.7BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $7.1BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $6.6BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $6.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.9B+8.1%
Q2 2026$7.4B+6.2%
Q1 2026$7.6B+7.6%
Q4 2025$6.6B+8.7%
Q3 2025$6.4B+11%
Q2 2025$7B+12%
Q1 2025$7.1B+9.1%
Q4 2024$6.1B+9.2%

MRSH's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $6.9B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

MRSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: −$868MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: −$677MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$750MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: −$868MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: −$677MQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$750MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-30%
Q2 2026$1.5B-10%
Q1 2026-$750M-$73M
Q4 2025$2.1B+9.4%
Q3 2025$2B+9.3%
Q2 2025$1.6B+42%
Q1 2025-$677M+$191M
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

MRSH has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over MRSH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MRSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 499MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 496MQ3 2024: 496MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 495MQ2 2025: 495MQ3 2025: 494MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 486MQ2 2026: 482MQ3 2026: 479M
Q4 2023: 499MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 496MQ3 2024: 496MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 495MQ2 2025: 495MQ3 2025: 494MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 486MQ2 2026: 482MQ3 2026: 479M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-3M shares
1 year-3%-15M shares
3 years-4%-20M shares
5 years-6.6%-34M shares
Available history-6.3%-32M shares

MRSH has 479M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $3B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over MRSH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MRSH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

MRSH's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MRSH.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MRSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.6Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

MRSH's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over MRSH on valuation relative to its sector.

MRSH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMRSHSector medianRelative
PE25x13x89% above
PE %226341 pts below

MRSH is trading at 25x earnings, a 89% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

MRSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$189.28.7% above
20 week MA$186.310% above
50 week MA$179.615% above
100 week MA$196.44.7% above
200 week MA$197.14.4% above

MRSH has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

MRSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$112.0$115.1+2.8%
2021$115.1$170.6+48%
2022$170.6$165.6-2.9%
2023$165.6$189.5+14%
2024$189.5$213.5+13%
2025$213.5$187.0-12%
2026 YTD$187.0$205.7+10%

MRSH has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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