GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LPLA

LPL Financial Holdings Inc.

73
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

LPLA has the edge over GS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

LPLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

LPLA's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LPLA.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LPLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$292—
Cheap15x$264-9.6%
Current17x$292—
Fair24x$417+43%
Expensive30x$516+77%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LPLA has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LPLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

LPLA has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails LPLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LPLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$451.22
Downside-12%$258.65

Calculated from the latest close: $292.27 on Nov 12.

LPLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over LPLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LPLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.69Q1 2024: $13.28Q2 2024: $12.86Q3 2024: $13.34Q4 2024: $14.03Q1 2025: $14.44Q2 2025: $14.61Q3 2025: $10.85Q4 2025: $10.92Q1 2026: $11.11Q2 2026: $12.45Q3 2026: $17.34Forward: $27.87
Q4 2023: $13.69Q1 2024: $13.28Q2 2024: $12.86Q3 2024: $13.34Q4 2024: $14.03Q1 2025: $14.44Q2 2025: $14.61Q3 2025: $10.85Q4 2025: $10.92Q1 2026: $11.11Q2 2026: $12.45Q3 2026: $17.34Forward: $27.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$27.87+61%
Q3 2026$17.34+60%
Q2 2026$12.45-15%
Q1 2026$11.11-23%
Q4 2025$10.92-22%
Q3 2025$10.85-19%
Q2 2025$14.61+14%
Q1 2025$14.44+8.7%
Q4 2024$14.03+2.5%

LPLA earned $17.34 per share over the past year, up 60% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

LPLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.3B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.3B+17%
Q2 2026$5.2B+35%
Q1 2026$4.9B+35%
Q4 2025$4.9B+40%
Q3 2025$4.6B+46%
Q2 2025$3.8B+31%
Q1 2025$3.7B+30%
Q4 2024$3.5B+33%

LPLA has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

LPLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$308MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$344MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: −$1.9BQ4 2025: $613MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$308MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$344MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: −$1.9BQ4 2025: $613MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $203MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.5M+$1.9B
Q2 2026$202.5M+260%
Q1 2026$124.6M-43%
Q4 2025$613.3M+$957.6M
Q3 2025-$1.9B-3106%
Q2 2025$56.3M+$364.1M
Q1 2025$220.3M-28%
Q4 2024-$344.3M-1038%

LPLA has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over LPLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LPLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 79M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 79M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.1M shares
1 year-1.7%-1.4M shares
3 years+2.4%+1.8M shares
5 years-3.5%-2.9M shares
Available history-6.7%-5.7M shares

LPLA has 79M diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago, with $610M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over LPLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LPLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

LPLA's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like LPLA.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

LPLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

LPLA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over LPLA on valuation relative to its sector.

LPLA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLPLASector medianRelative
PE17x13x29% above
PE %276336 pts below

LPLA is trading at 17x earnings, a 29% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over LPLA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LPLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$308.75.3% below
20 week MA$329.811% below
50 week MA$326.310% below
100 week MA$339.214% below
200 week MA$289.80.9% above

LPLA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 0.9% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over LPLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LPLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$92.6$103.8+12%
2021$103.8$162.6+57%
2022$162.6$215.8+33%
2023$215.8$227.6+5.5%
2024$227.6$331.9+46%
2025$331.9$372.2+12%
2026 YTD$372.2$292.3-21%

LPLA has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.

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