GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over JEF overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

JEF

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

JEF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

JEF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

JEF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JEF.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over JEF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JEF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$26.66-42%
Current11x$46.27—
Forward11x$46.27—
Fair13x$53.80+16%
Expensive26x$105+126%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JEF's PE is in its fair range at 11.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.0x next year's earnings.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over JEF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

JEF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect JEF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails JEF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JEF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$61.43
Downside-21%$36.72

Calculated from the latest close: $46.27 on Nov 12.

JEF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over JEF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JEF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.81Q3 2024: $2.34Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $2.90Q2 2025: $2.66Q3 2025: $2.92Q4 2025: $2.83Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $3.82Q3 2026: $4.07Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.22Q2 2024: $1.81Q3 2024: $2.34Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $2.90Q2 2025: $2.66Q3 2025: $2.92Q4 2025: $2.83Q1 2026: $2.96Q2 2026: $3.82Q3 2026: $4.07Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+3.3%
Q3 2026$4.07+39%
Q2 2026$3.82+44%
Q1 2026$2.96+2.1%
Q4 2025$2.83-5.4%
Q3 2025$2.92+25%
Q2 2025$2.66+47%
Q1 2025$2.90+138%
Q4 2024$2.99+172%

JEF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.07 over the past year, against $5.86 in late 2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over JEF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JEF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+8.5%
Q2 2026$2.2B+35%
Q1 2026$2B+27%
Q4 2025$2.1B+5.7%
Q3 2025$2B+22%
Q2 2025$1.6B-1.3%
Q1 2025$1.6B-8.4%
Q4 2024$2B+63%

JEF's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

JEF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$1.4BQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: −$706MQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: −$2.7BQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.8BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: −$1.4BQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: −$706MQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: −$2.7BQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.8BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+1917%
Q2 2026$1.6B+$2.6B
Q1 2026-$1.8B+$912.6M
Q4 2025$1.9B+16%
Q3 2025$126M+$831.9M
Q2 2025-$1B-3629%
Q1 2025-$2.7B-$1.4B
Q4 2024$1.6B+4531%

JEF has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over JEF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JEF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 225MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 222MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 222MQ3 2025: 223MQ4 2025: 223MQ1 2026: 223MQ2 2026: 203MQ3 2026: 230M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 225MQ2 2024: 226MQ3 2024: 222MQ4 2024: 224MQ1 2025: 222MQ2 2025: 222MQ3 2025: 223MQ4 2025: 223MQ1 2026: 223MQ2 2026: 203MQ3 2026: 230M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+26.3M shares
1 year+3.1%+6.9M shares
3 years-1%-2.4M shares
5 years-19%-54.2M shares
Available history-31%-101M shares

JEF has 230M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago, despite $440M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over JEF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JEF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 6.3xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 6.3xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20266.3xHigh
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20255.2xHigh
Q2 20255.3xHigh
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

JEF's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JEF.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

JEF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.6Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

JEF's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

JEF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJEFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x13% below
PE %436320 pts below

JEF has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over JEF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JEF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.90.8% above
20 week MA$50.58.3% below
50 week MA$52.111% below
100 week MA$55.717% below
200 week MA$49.87.1% below

JEF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 7.1% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over JEF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JEF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$22.6+12%
2021$22.6$36.9+63%
2022$36.9$33.4-9.6%
2023$33.4$40.4+21%
2024$40.4$78.9+95%
2025$78.9$63.9-19%
2026 YTD$63.9$46.3-28%

JEF has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

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