GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over IBKR overall, supported by stronger valuation.

IBKR

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

59
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

IBKR has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

IBKR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

IBKR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IBKR.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

IBKR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$50.15-38%
Fair23x$60.78-25%
Forward26x$81.33—
Current31x$81.33—
Expensive32x$84.00+3.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBKR has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IBKR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

IBKR has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails IBKR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

IBKR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$111.44
Downside-13%$70.83

Calculated from the latest close: $81.33 on Nov 12.

IBKR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over IBKR on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

IBKR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.47Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $1.60Q4 2024: $1.73Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.91Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.22Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.50Q3 2026: $2.60Forward: $3.18
Q4 2023: $1.42Q1 2024: $1.47Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $1.60Q4 2024: $1.73Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.91Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.22Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.50Q3 2026: $2.60Forward: $3.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.18+22%
Q3 2026$2.60+25%
Q2 2026$2.50+31%
Q1 2026$2.33+29%
Q4 2025$2.22+28%
Q3 2025$2.08+30%
Q2 2025$1.91+21%
Q1 2025$1.81+23%
Q4 2024$1.73+22%

IBKR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.60 over the past year, up 25% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

IBKR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+16%
Q2 2026$1.9B+28%
Q1 2026$1.7B+17%
Q4 2025$1.6B+18%
Q3 2025$1.7B+21%
Q2 2025$1.5B+20%
Q1 2025$1.4B+19%
Q4 2024$1.4B+22%

IBKR has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

IBKR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $4.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $6.2BQ3 2026: $858M
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $4.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $6.2BQ3 2026: $858M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$858M-81%
Q2 2026$6.2B-13%
Q1 2026$3.6B+40%
Q4 2025$1.6B-12%
Q3 2025$4.5B+25%
Q2 2025$7.1B+340%
Q1 2025$2.6B+54%
Q4 2024$1.8B-22%

IBKR has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over IBKR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IBKR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 423MQ1 2024: 433MQ2 2024: 435MQ3 2024: 438MQ4 2024: 436MQ1 2025: 439MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 444MQ1 2026: 448MQ2 2026: 450MQ3 2026: 454M
Q4 2023: 423MQ1 2024: 433MQ2 2024: 435MQ3 2024: 438MQ4 2024: 436MQ1 2025: 439MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 444MQ1 2026: 448MQ2 2026: 450MQ3 2026: 454M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+3.8M shares
1 year+1.7%+7.4M shares
3 years+6%+25.9M shares
5 years+17%+66M shares
Available history+48%+147M shares

IBKR has 454M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over IBKR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBKR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

IBKR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IBKR.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

IBKR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

IBKR's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over IBKR on valuation relative to its sector.

IBKR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIBKRSector medianRelative
PE31x13x140% above
PE %796316 pts above

IBKR is trading at 31x earnings, a 140% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

IBKR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.81.8% below
20 week MA$88.17.7% below
50 week MA$80.41.1% above
100 week MA$68.020% above
200 week MA$47.173% above

IBKR has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 73% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

IBKR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.8$15.3+30%
2021$15.3$20.0+31%
2022$20.0$18.4-7.9%
2023$18.4$20.7+12%
2024$20.7$44.8+116%
2025$44.8$66.2+48%
2026 YTD$66.2$81.3+23%

IBKR has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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