GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over IBCP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

IBCP

Independent Bank Corporation

50
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

IBCP offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

IBCP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

IBCP's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IBCP.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

IBCP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.8x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.8x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$23.36-36%
Fair8.4x$28.55-22%
Forward9.4x$36.58—
Expensive11x$36.35-0.6%
Current11x$36.58—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBCP has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IBCP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IBCP, with profitability holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails IBCP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

IBCP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$44.55
Downside-14%$31.63

Calculated from the latest close: $36.58 on Nov 12.

IBCP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over IBCP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBCP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.94Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $2.94Q4 2024: $3.16Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.07Q3 2025: $3.26Q4 2025: $3.28Q1 2026: $3.35Q2 2026: $3.44Q3 2026: $3.40Forward: $3.88
Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.94Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $2.94Q4 2024: $3.16Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.07Q3 2025: $3.26Q4 2025: $3.28Q1 2026: $3.35Q2 2026: $3.44Q3 2026: $3.40Forward: $3.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.88+14%
Q3 2026$3.40+4.3%
Q2 2026$3.44+12%
Q1 2026$3.35+6.7%
Q4 2025$3.28+3.8%
Q3 2025$3.26+11%
Q2 2025$3.07-1.6%
Q1 2025$3.14+6.8%
Q4 2024$3.16+13%

IBCP earned $3.40 per share over the past year, up 4.3% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over IBCP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBCP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $56MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$71.1M+24%
Q2 2026$63.2M+13%
Q1 2026$58.9M+8.9%
Q4 2025$58.3M-5.9%
Q3 2025$57.3M+12%
Q2 2025$55.9M-1%
Q1 2025$54.1M+2.6%
Q4 2024$62M+26%

IBCP's revenue is growing: $71M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

IBCP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: −$14MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.1M+34%
Q2 2026$16.7M+0.2%
Q1 2026-$13.8M-145%
Q4 2025$6.4M-49%
Q3 2025$16.5M+5.3%
Q2 2025$16.7M+139%
Q1 2025$30.6M+52%
Q4 2024$12.4M-19%

IBCP has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over IBCP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IBCP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+1.5M shares
1 year+7.9%+1.6M shares
3 years+6.8%+1.4M shares
5 years+3.9%+831K shares
Available history-2.4%-547K shares

IBCP has 22M diluted shares, up 7.9% from a year ago, despite $9M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over IBCP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBCP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

IBCP has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IBCP.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

IBCP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.3Neutral
Stochastic43.7Neutral

IBCP's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

IBCP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIBCPSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %856322 pts above

IBCP has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

IBCP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.21% above
20 week MA$36.70.4% below
50 week MA$35.33.8% above
100 week MA$33.78.5% above
200 week MA$29.126% above

IBCP has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

IBCP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.6$18.6-18%
2021$18.6$23.3+25%
2022$23.3$24.2+4%
2023$24.2$26.0+7.4%
2024$26.0$34.7+33%
2025$34.7$33.1-4.5%
2026 YTD$33.1$36.6+10%

IBCP has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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