GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over HRTG overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

HRTG

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.

52
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

HRTG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HRTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HRTG's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HRTG.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HRTG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.7x$33.510%
Current4.7x$33.50—
Fair6.7x$47.72+42%
Forward7.1x$33.50—
Expensive13x$91.25+172%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HRTG has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over HRTG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

HRTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HRTG's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HRTG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HRTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$46.72
Downside-35%$21.62

Calculated from the latest close: $33.50 on Nov 12.

HRTG trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

HRTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.72Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.95Q3 2024: $2.50Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.83Q4 2025: $6.32Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $7.02Q3 2026: $7.11Forward: $4.72
Q4 2023: $1.72Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.95Q3 2024: $2.50Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.53Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.83Q4 2025: $6.32Q1 2026: $6.52Q2 2026: $7.02Q3 2026: $7.11Forward: $4.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.72-34%
Q3 2026$7.11+47%
Q2 2026$7.02+102%
Q1 2026$6.52+158%
Q4 2025$6.32+214%
Q3 2025$4.83+93%
Q2 2025$3.47+78%
Q1 2025$2.53+54%
Q4 2024$2.01+17%

HRTG has the edge over GS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

HRTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $204MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $212MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $213MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $219M
Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $204MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $212MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $215MQ1 2026: $213MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $219M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$219.2M+3.2%
Q2 2026$214.2M+3%
Q1 2026$212.7M+0.5%
Q4 2025$215.3M+2.4%
Q3 2025$212.5M+0.3%
Q2 2025$208M+2.2%
Q1 2025$211.5M+11%
Q4 2024$210.3M+12%

HRTG's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $219M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

HRTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $98MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: −$59MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $98MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: −$59MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.5M-92%
Q2 2026$141M+238%
Q1 2026$23M+$24.3M
Q4 2025$10.9M+$69.6M
Q3 2025$122.7M+$139.1M
Q2 2025$41.8M-72%
Q1 2025-$1.3M-131%
Q4 2024-$58.6M-160%

HRTG has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HRTG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HRTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-292K shares
1 year-4%-1.2M shares
3 years+12%+3.1M shares
5 years+6.6%+1.8M shares
Available history+1.9%+552K shares

HRTG has 30M diluted shares, down 4% from a year ago, with $26M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over HRTG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HRTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.8xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: -4.8xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -4.2xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -2.7xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -1.8xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash

HRTG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HRTG.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HRTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.9Neutral
Stochastic50.1Neutral

HRTG's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HRTG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHRTGSector medianRelative
PE4.7x13x64% below
PE %166347 pts below

HRTG has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

HRTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.63.3% below
20 week MA$32.72.5% above
50 week MA$28.617% above
100 week MA$24.338% above
200 week MA$15.8113% above

HRTG has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

HRTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.4$10.1-24%
2021$10.1$5.91-42%
2022$5.91$1.85-69%
2023$1.85$6.52+252%
2024$6.52$12.1+85%
2025$12.1$29.0+141%
2026 YTD$29.0$33.5+16%

HRTG has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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