GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HPE

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

65
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HPE has a slight edge over GS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

HPE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over HPE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$12.41-75%
Forward11x$50.16—
Fair16x$30.89-38%
Expensive26x$49.82-0.7%
Current26x$50.16—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HPE's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HPE has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails HPE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$83.23
Downside-17%$41.61

Calculated from the latest close: $50.16 on Nov 12.

HPE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over HPE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.37Q3 2024: $1.40Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $0.85Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $1.09Q3 2026: $1.94Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68+141%
Q3 2026$1.94+128%
Q2 2026$1.09+6.9%
Q1 2026-$0.17-108%
Q4 2025-$0.04-102%
Q3 2025$0.85-39%
Q2 2025$1.02-26%
Q1 2025$2.08+43%
Q4 2024$1.93+25%

HPE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.94 over the past year, against $2.82 in mid-2022.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

HPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
Q4 2023: $7.4BQ1 2024: $6.8BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $7.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $7.6BQ3 2025: $9.1BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $10.7BQ3 2026: $12.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.2B+34%
Q2 2026$10.7B+40%
Q1 2026$9.3B+18%
Q4 2025$9.7B+14%
Q3 2025$9.1B+18%
Q2 2025$7.6B+5.9%
Q1 2025$7.9B+16%
Q4 2024$8.5B+15%

HPE has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

HPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$592MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $611MQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: −$918MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $729MQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $609MQ2 2026: $827MQ3 2026: $896M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$896M+23%
Q2 2026$827M+$1.8B
Q1 2026$609M+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1.8B+28%
Q3 2025$729M+19%
Q2 2025-$1B-289%
Q1 2025-$918M-$326M
Q4 2024$1.4B-34%

HPE has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HPE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.4BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+17M shares
1 year+2%+28M shares
3 years+10%+133M shares
5 years+8.3%+111M shares
Available history+6.1%+83M shares

HPE has 1.4B diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over HPE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 6.9xQ4 2025: 7.2xQ1 2026: 6.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20266.4xHigh
Q4 20257.2xHigh
Q3 20256.9xHigh
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

HPE's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.9 years a year ago.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

HPE's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HPE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricHPESector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.2% below
PE %833548 pts above

HPE has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

HPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.514% below
20 week MA$54.68.1% below
50 week MA$38.829% above
100 week MA$29.670% above
200 week MA$23.5114% above

HPE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 114% above its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

HPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.9$11.8-26%
2021$11.8$15.8+34%
2022$15.8$15.8-0.1%
2023$15.8$17.0+7.8%
2024$17.0$21.7+28%
2025$21.7$24.5+13%
2026 YTD$24.5$50.2+105%

HPE has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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