GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over HMN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

HMN

Horace Mann Educators Corporation

60
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

HMN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HMN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HMN.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x152x229x305x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE76x152x229x305x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$45.56-14%
Forward11x$52.78—
Current12x$52.78—
Fair13x$57.21+8.4%
Expensive21x$88.69+68%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HMN has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect HMN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails HMN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$63.49
Downside-9%$47.97

Calculated from the latest close: $52.78 on Nov 12.

HMN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

HMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.97Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.28Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $5.02
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.57Q2 2024: $1.97Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.48Q1 2025: $2.76Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.28Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $5.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.02+17%
Q3 2026$4.29+8.6%
Q2 2026$4.28+27%
Q1 2026$3.98+44%
Q4 2025$3.90+57%
Q3 2025$3.95+57%
Q2 2025$3.38+72%
Q1 2025$2.76+76%
Q4 2024$2.48+128%

HMN has the edge over GS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

HMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: $388MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: $435MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $444MQ3 2026: $439M
Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: $388MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $416MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: $435MQ1 2026: $429MQ2 2026: $444MQ3 2026: $439M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$439.2M+0.2%
Q2 2026$443.5M+7.7%
Q1 2026$429.3M+3.1%
Q4 2025$434.8M+6.3%
Q3 2025$438.5M+6.4%
Q2 2025$411.7M+6.1%
Q1 2025$416.4M+7.9%
Q4 2024$409M+1.5%

HMN's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $439M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

HMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $144MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $112M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $144MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $112M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$112M-26%
Q2 2026$223.7M+70%
Q1 2026$61.3M-56%
Q4 2025$129.9M-33%
Q3 2025$151.2M+5.1%
Q2 2025$131.3M+227%
Q1 2025$140.8M+89%
Q4 2024$193.5M+88%

HMN has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+200K shares
1 year-0.5%-200K shares
3 years0%--
5 years-1.9%-800K shares
Available history-1.5%-619K shares

HMN has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over HMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

HMN's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HMN.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.5Neutral
Stochastic63.6Neutral

HMN's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HMN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHMNSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.5% below
PE %426321 pts below

HMN has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

HMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.711% above
20 week MA$50.05.6% above
50 week MA$46.912% above
100 week MA$44.718% above
200 week MA$39.334% above

HMN has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

HMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.7$41.7-4.6%
2021$41.7$38.6-7.5%
2022$38.6$37.9-1.8%
2023$37.9$32.7-14%
2024$32.7$39.3+20%
2025$39.3$46.5+18%
2026 YTD$46.5$52.8+14%

HMN has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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