GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over HIG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

HIG

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.

61
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

HIG has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HIG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HIG's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HIG.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HIG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.5x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.5x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current8.3x$137—
Cheap9.2x$152+11%
Forward10x$137—
Fair11x$187+37%
Expensive13x$208+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HIG has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over HIG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

HIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect HIG's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails HIG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HIG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$157.41
Downside-11%$121.73

Calculated from the latest close: $136.90 on Nov 12.

HIG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over HIG on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HIG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.99Q1 2024: $8.80Q2 2024: $9.51Q3 2024: $9.98Q4 2024: $10.35Q1 2025: $10.03Q2 2025: $11.03Q3 2025: $12.24Q4 2025: $13.32Q1 2026: $14.21Q2 2026: $15.45Q3 2026: $16.50Forward: $13.28
Q4 2023: $7.99Q1 2024: $8.80Q2 2024: $9.51Q3 2024: $9.98Q4 2024: $10.35Q1 2025: $10.03Q2 2025: $11.03Q3 2025: $12.24Q4 2025: $13.32Q1 2026: $14.21Q2 2026: $15.45Q3 2026: $16.50Forward: $13.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.28-20%
Q3 2026$16.50+35%
Q2 2026$15.45+40%
Q1 2026$14.21+42%
Q4 2025$13.32+29%
Q3 2025$12.24+23%
Q2 2025$11.03+16%
Q1 2025$10.03+14%
Q4 2024$10.35+30%

HIG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $16.50 over the past year, up 35% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over HIG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HIG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.4BQ1 2024: $6.4BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $6.9BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7.2BQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $7.3BQ3 2026: $7.2B
Q4 2023: $6.4BQ1 2024: $6.4BQ2 2024: $6.5BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $6.9BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7BQ3 2025: $7.2BQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $7.3BQ3 2026: $7.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.2B-0.2%
Q2 2026$7.3B+4%
Q1 2026$7.2B+6.1%
Q4 2025$7.3B+6.7%
Q3 2025$7.2B+7.1%
Q2 2025$7B+7.7%
Q1 2025$6.8B+6.1%
Q4 2024$6.9B+7.5%

HIG's revenue is growing: $7.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

HIG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $947MQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $947MQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.3B+4.2%
Q1 2026$1B+7.1%
Q4 2025$1.8B-7.3%
Q3 2025$1.8B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+4.3%
Q1 2025$947M-9.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+22%
Q3 2024$1.6B-5.9%

HIG has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HIG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HIG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 312MQ1 2024: 303MQ2 2024: 300MQ3 2024: 298MQ4 2024: 299MQ1 2025: 291MQ2 2025: 288MQ3 2025: 285MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 276MQ3 2026: 273M
Q4 2023: 312MQ1 2024: 303MQ2 2024: 300MQ3 2024: 298MQ4 2024: 299MQ1 2025: 291MQ2 2025: 288MQ3 2025: 285MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 280MQ2 2026: 276MQ3 2026: 273M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.2M shares
1 year-4.2%-11.9M shares
3 years-12%-35.9M shares
5 years-22%-77.6M shares
Available history-25%-91.8M shares

HIG has 273M diluted shares, down 4.2% from a year ago, with $1.8B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over HIG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HIG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.0xVery low

HIG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HIG.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HIG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic57.9Neutral

HIG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HIG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHIGSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %86355 pts below

HIG has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

HIG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.83.8% above
20 week MA$135.80.8% above
50 week MA$135.31.2% above
100 week MA$129.35.9% above
200 week MA$109.026% above

HIG has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over HIG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HIG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.6$48.4-20%
2021$48.4$68.3+41%
2022$68.3$76.1+12%
2023$76.1$80.4+5.6%
2024$80.4$110.1+37%
2025$110.1$138.7+26%
2026 YTD$138.7$136.9-1.3%

HIG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 1.3% so far in 2026.

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