GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 19% and its operating margin rose 4 points to 40%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

HCXY

Hercules Capital, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score HCXY yet.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HCXY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HCXY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HCXY.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914โ€”
Forward13x$914โ€”
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HCXY PE Valuation

HCXY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over HCXY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

HCXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HCXY's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GS and HCXY's risk to reward.

HCXY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $24.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GS and HCXY's risk to reward.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over HCXY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCXY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.88+9.3%
Q2 2026$2.03+34%
Q1 2026$1.79+35%
Q4 2025$1.85+15%
Q3 2025$1.72-15%
Q2 2025$1.51-16%
Q1 2025$1.33-40%
Q4 2024$1.61-30%

HCXY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.88 over the past year, against $2.89 in mid-2021.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

HCXY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 23% for GS versus up 52% for HCXY.

HCXY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$87.4M+52%
Q2 2022$21.7M-81%
Q1 2022$29.7M-70%
Q4 2021$40.2M-78%
Q3 2021$57.4M-23%
Q2 2021$115.3M+23%
Q1 2021$98.4M+2179%
Q4 2020$184.3M+145%

HCXY's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $87M last quarter, up 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$28.9BQ1 2024: โˆ’$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: โˆ’$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: โˆ’$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: โˆ’$16.8BQ1 2026: โˆ’$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$28.9BQ1 2024: โˆ’$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: โˆ’$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: โˆ’$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: โˆ’$16.8BQ1 2026: โˆ’$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over HCXY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HCXY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: โˆ’$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: โˆ’$29MQ1 2025: โˆ’$222MQ2 2025: โˆ’$145MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$56MQ1 2026: โˆ’$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: โˆ’$166M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: โˆ’$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: โˆ’$29MQ1 2025: โˆ’$222MQ2 2025: โˆ’$145MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$56MQ1 2026: โˆ’$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: โˆ’$166M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$165.6M-$162.4M
Q2 2026$297.9M+$442.8M
Q1 2026-$230.7M-$8.4M
Q4 2025-$55.6M-$26.4M
Q3 2025-$3.2M-103%
Q2 2025-$144.8M-345%
Q1 2025-$222.2M+$19M
Q4 2024-$29.2M-122%

HCXY's free cash flow was โˆ’$154M over the past year, against โˆ’$399M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HCXY.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HCXY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HCXY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+501K shares
1 year+2.9%+5.7M shares
3 years+36%+53M shares
5 years+72%+83.8M shares
Available history+89%+94M shares

HCXY has 200M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

HCXY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202233.8xHigh
Q2 2022100.4xHigh
Q1 202211.9xHigh
Q4 20216.4xHigh
Q3 20213.7xElevated
Q2 20213.4xElevated
Q1 20213.6xElevated
Q4 20204.8xHigh

HCXY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HCXY.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HCXY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.5Neutral
Stochastic36.7Neutral

HCXY's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HCXY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHCXYSector medianRelative
PE13x13x1.8% below
PE %446319 pts below

HCXY has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over HCXY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HCXY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$24.40.8% below
20 week MA$24.72.2% below
50 week MA$25.03.2% below
100 week MA$25.03.4% below
200 week MA$24.82.7% below

HCXY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.7% below its 200-week average.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over HCXY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HCXY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.3$26.8+2%
2021$26.8$26.4-1.5%
2022$26.4$23.9-9.7%
2023$23.9$25.3+5.9%
2024$25.3$24.9-1.2%
2025$24.9$25.3+1.5%
2026 YTD$25.3$24.2-4.5%

HCXY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.5% so far in 2026.

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