GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HCI
HCI Group, Inc.
HCI has the edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
HCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HCI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HCI.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
HCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.7x | $191 | — |
| Cheap | 8.8x | $217 | +14% |
| Forward | 9.3x | $191 | — |
| Fair | 15x | $382 | +100% |
| Expensive | 30x | $752 | +294% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HCI has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
GS has the edge over HCI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
HCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect HCI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $69.58 over the past year, up 41% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
HCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.61 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $24.75 | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.20 | +106% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.78 | +120% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.68 | +158% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.66 | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.28 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.34 | +5.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.80 | +16% |
HCI earned $24.75 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS has the edge over HCI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS's operating margin was 37% last quarter, up 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $244.9M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $246.7M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $242.9M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $246.2M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | $216.4M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $221.9M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $216.4M | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $161.9M | -0.5% |
HCI's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $245M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 47% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 48% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 58% | +55 points |
| Q3 2025 | 42% | +34 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +8.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6% | -30 points |
HCI has the edge over GS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
HCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $74.5M | +188% |
| Q2 2026 | $124.8M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $148.5M | -7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $110.2M | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.9M | -75% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +$174.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $160.3M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $73.6M | -52% |
HCI has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has the edge over HCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
HCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -95K shares |
| 1 year | -2.6% | -329K shares |
| 3 years | +42% | +3.7M shares |
HCI has 13M diluted shares, down 2.6% from a year ago, with $81M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $57M |
| Q1 2026 | $17.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $800,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $37,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $48,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $639,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
HCI spent $81M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over HCI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
HCI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HCI.
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
HCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.9 | Neutral |
HCI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.
HCI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.7x | 13x | 41% below |
| PE % | 9 | 63 | 54 pts below |
HCI has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
HCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $191.0 | 0.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $186.4 | 2.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $173.3 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $162.9 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $122.1 | 56% above |
HCI has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has the edge over HCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $45.9 | $51.8 | +13% |
| 2021 | $51.8 | $87.5 | +69% |
| 2022 | $87.5 | $39.6 | -55% |
| 2023 | $39.6 | $87.4 | +121% |
| 2024 | $87.4 | $117.4 | +34% |
| 2025 | $117.4 | $192.1 | +64% |
| 2026 YTD | $192.1 | $190.8 | -0.6% |
HCI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +121% in 2023 to −55% in 2022. It's down 0.6% so far in 2026.