GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over HBT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

HBT

HBT Financial, Inc.

51
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

HBT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HBT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HBT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HBT.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over HBT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HBT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.3x12x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.3x12x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$23.32-38%
Fair10x$25.73-31%
Expensive11x$28.51-24%
Forward11x$37.49—
Current15x$37.49—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HBT's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HBT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HBT, but weaker profitability.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails HBT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HBT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$46.21
Downside-12%$32.96

Calculated from the latest close: $37.49 on Nov 12.

HBT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over HBT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HBT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.24Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.38Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.44Q1 2026: $2.18Q2 2026: $2.33Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $3.45
Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $2.25Q2 2024: $2.24Q3 2024: $2.19Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.38Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $2.44Q1 2026: $2.18Q2 2026: $2.33Q3 2026: $2.56Forward: $3.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.45+35%
Q3 2026$2.56+3.2%
Q2 2026$2.33-3.7%
Q1 2026$2.18-8.4%
Q4 2025$2.44+8%
Q3 2025$2.48+13%
Q2 2025$2.42+8%
Q1 2025$2.38+5.8%
Q4 2024$2.26+9.2%

HBT earned $2.56 per share over the past year, up 3.2% from the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

HBT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$84.6M+41%
Q2 2026$80.9M+38%
Q1 2026$67.3M+16%
Q4 2025$60.4M+2.4%
Q3 2025$59.8M+6%
Q2 2025$58.8M+3.8%
Q1 2025$58M+11%
Q4 2024$59M+4.9%

HBT's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $85M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

HBT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34.5M+101%
Q2 2026$17.2M+27%
Q1 2026$28.5M-6.3%
Q4 2025$23.9M+38%
Q3 2025$17.2M-33%
Q2 2025$13.6M-32%
Q1 2025$30.4M+14%
Q4 2024$17.3M+33%

HBT has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HBT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+22.7K shares
1 year+16%+4.9M shares
3 years+14%+4.5M shares
5 years+33%+9.1M shares
Available history+33%+9M shares

HBT has 36M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $17M in buybacks over the past year.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over HBT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HBT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

HBT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HBT.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HBT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.3Overbought
Stochastic65.9Neutral

HBT's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over HBT on valuation relative to its sector.

HBT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHBTSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %956332 pts above

HBT is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

HBT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.33.3% above
20 week MA$35.55.5% above
50 week MA$30.922% above
100 week MA$27.437% above
200 week MA$23.858% above

HBT has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

HBT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.8$15.1-19%
2021$15.1$18.7+24%
2022$18.7$19.6+4.9%
2023$19.6$21.1+7.9%
2024$21.1$21.7+2.7%
2025$21.7$26.0+20%
2026 YTD$26.0$37.5+44%

HBT has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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