GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over HBNC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

HBNC

Horizon Bancorp, Inc.

53
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

HBNC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

HBNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

HBNC's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HBNC.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914โ€”
Forward13x$914โ€”
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS has the edge over HBNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HBNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$13.59-36%
Forward9.6x$21.19โ€”
Fair10x$20.01-5.6%
Current11x$21.19โ€”
Expensive19x$38.49+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HBNC's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.6x next year's earnings.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HBNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

HBNC has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails HBNC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HBNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$26.23
Downside-15%$18.00

Calculated from the latest close: $21.19 on Nov 12.

HBNC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

HBNC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 41% for GS versus HBNC up 326%.

HBNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.80Q1 2025: $1.02Q2 2025: $1.17Q3 2026: $2.00Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $0.80Q1 2025: $1.02Q2 2025: $1.17Q3 2026: $2.00Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+10%
Q2 2025$1.17+172%
Q1 2025$1.02+89%
Q4 2024$0.80+25%
Q3 2024$0.47-72%
Q2 2024$0.43-77%
Q1 2024$0.54-73%
Q4 2023$0.64-70%
Q3 2023$1.70-21%

HBNC earned $2.00 per share over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 23% for GS versus up 16% for HBNC.

HBNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $77M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $77M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$75.5M+14%
Q1 2026$73.5M+6.9%
Q4 2025$74.9M+210%
Q2 2025$66.3M+19%
Q1 2025$68.8M+29%
Q4 2024$24.2M+11%
Q3 2024$58.4M+8.3%
Q2 2024$55.8M-2.4%

HBNC's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $77M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$28.9BQ1 2024: โˆ’$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: โˆ’$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: โˆ’$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: โˆ’$16.8BQ1 2026: โˆ’$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$28.9BQ1 2024: โˆ’$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: โˆ’$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: โˆ’$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: โˆ’$16.8BQ1 2026: โˆ’$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

HBNC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 52% versus its history, compared with GS at down 278%.

HBNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: โˆ’$50MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: โˆ’$50MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$31.3M+73%
Q1 2026$20.7M+47%
Q4 2025$32.6M+$82.8M
Q2 2025$18.1M+20%
Q1 2025$14.1M+163%
Q4 2024-$50.2M-468%
Q3 2024$31M+8.1%
Q2 2024$15.1M+7.1%

HBNC's free cash flow was $111M over the past year, about nine times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HBNC.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over HBNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HBNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+53.7K shares
1 year+17%+7.3M shares
3 years+17%+7.6M shares
5 years+16%+7.2M shares
Available history+14%+6.3M shares

HBNC has 51M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over HBNC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HBNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 16.6xQ1 2024: -6.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -5.7xQ4 2024: 24.9xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: 16.6xQ1 2024: -6.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -5.7xQ4 2024: 24.9xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 202424.9xHigh
Q3 2024-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-6.0xNet Cash
Q4 202316.6xHigh

HBNC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HBNC.

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

HBNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.5Neutral
Stochastic76.2Neutral

HBNC's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

HBNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHBNCSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %60633 pts below

HBNC has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

HBNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.15.6% above
20 week MA$20.06% above
50 week MA$18.714% above
100 week MA$17.223% above
200 week MA$15.041% above

HBNC has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

HBNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.0$15.6-18%
2021$15.6$20.7+33%
2022$20.7$15.2-26%
2023$15.2$14.3-6%
2024$14.3$16.1+12%
2025$16.1$17.5+8.5%
2026 YTD$17.5$21.2+21%

HBNC has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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