GRWG

GrowGeneration Corp.

53
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

GRWG offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over GRWG overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

GRWG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

GRWG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

GRWG PE Valuation

GRWG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

GRWG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GRWG has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GRWG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$1.84
Downside-33%$0.83

Calculated from the latest close: $1.23 on Nov 12.

GRWG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails GRWG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRWG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-0.80Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.88Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $-0.82Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.23
Q4 2023: $-0.76Q1 2024: $-0.80Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.88Q4 2024: $-0.82Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $-0.82Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.23+$0.44
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.52
Q4 2025-$0.40+$0.42
Q3 2025-$0.67+$0.21
Q2 2025-$0.82-$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.84-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.82-$0.06

GRWG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.23 per share over the past year, against $2.70 at its worst in early 2023.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over GRWG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GRWG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$44.8M-5.2%
Q2 2026$43.2M+5.5%
Q1 2026$38.4M+7.5%
Q4 2025$37.8M+1%
Q3 2025$47.3M-5.5%
Q2 2025$41M-23%
Q1 2025$35.7M-25%
Q4 2024$37.4M-24%

GRWG's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $45M last quarter, down 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over GRWG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GRWG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$368,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$499,000Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $941,000Q3 2026: $555,000
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$368,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$499,000Q4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $941,000Q3 2026: $555,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$555K+$1.1M
Q2 2026$941K+$3.9M
Q1 2026-$5M-$1.2M
Q4 2025-$2.2M-305%
Q3 2025-$499K-143%
Q2 2025-$2.9M-$2.6M
Q1 2025-$3.8M-$153K
Q4 2024$1.1M+$2.4M

GRWG's free cash flow was −$6M over the past year, against −$6M the year before.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over GRWG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GRWG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 59M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-550K shares
1 year-0.9%-528K shares
3 years-3.3%-2M shares
5 years-0.4%-235K shares
Available history+51%+20M shares

GRWG has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GRWG Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2022-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2021-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2021-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2021-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2021-4.1xNet Cash
Q4 2020-16.3xNet Cash
Q3 2020-7.8xNet Cash
Q2 2020-5.0xNet Cash

GRWG has more cash than debt.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GRWG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.8Neutral
Stochastic18.6Oversold

GRWG's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

GRWG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGRWGSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

GRWG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GRWG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4616% below
20 week MA$1.5119% below
50 week MA$1.4415% below
100 week MA$1.3912% below
200 week MA$2.0841% below

GRWG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 41% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over GRWG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GRWG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.23$41.3+876%
2021$41.3$13.6-67%
2022$13.6$4.26-69%
2023$4.26$2.51-41%
2024$2.51$1.54-39%
2025$1.54$1.61+4.5%
2026 YTD$1.61$1.23-24%

GRWG has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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