GRND

Grindr Inc.

59
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

GRND trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over GRND overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

GRND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

GRND's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GRND PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$14.44—
Cheap27x$8.11-44%
Fair30x$9.13-37%
Expensive32x$9.61-33%
Current48x$14.44—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GRND's PE is 48x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over GRND in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GRND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GRND, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over GRND on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GRND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$20.13
Downside-28%$10.44

Calculated from the latest close: $14.44 on Nov 12.

GRND trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GRND, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.32Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.44Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.74Q1 2025: $-0.60Q2 2025: $-0.39Q3 2025: $-0.32Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.70
Q4 2023: $-0.32Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.44Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-0.74Q1 2025: $-0.60Q2 2025: $-0.39Q3 2025: $-0.32Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.70+133%
Q3 2026$0.30+$0.62
Q2 2026$0.50+$0.89
Q1 2026$0.48+$1.08
Q4 2025$0.43+$1.17
Q3 2025-$0.32+$0.03
Q2 2025-$0.39+$0.05
Q1 2025-$0.60-$0.42
Q4 2024-$0.74-$0.42

GRND has returned to profit: it earned $0.30 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over GRND on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $141M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $141M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$141.4M+22%
Q2 2026$138.1M+33%
Q1 2026$129.9M+38%
Q4 2025$126M+29%
Q3 2025$115.8M+30%
Q2 2025$104.2M+27%
Q1 2025$93.9M+25%
Q4 2024$97.6M+35%

GRND has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

GRND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $55MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $50M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $55MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $50M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$50.4M-8.8%
Q2 2026$40.8M+9.3%
Q1 2026$33.4M+41%
Q4 2025$24.5M-16%
Q3 2025$55.2M+92%
Q2 2025$37.3M+138%
Q1 2025$23.7M+17%
Q4 2024$29.3M+129%

GRND has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

GRND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 174MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 180MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 193MQ4 2025: 195MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 179MQ3 2026: 174M
Q4 2023: 174MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 176MQ3 2024: 180MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 193MQ4 2025: 195MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 179MQ3 2026: 174M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.8%-5.1M shares
1 year-9.7%-18.7M shares
3 years-0.1%-222K shares

GRND has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GRND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20242.1xModerate

GRND's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over GRND on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GRND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

GRND's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

GRND PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGRNDSector medianRelative
PE48x28x73% above
PE %1004060 pts above

GRND is trading at 48x earnings, a 73% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over GRND on valuation relative to its sector.

GRND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.12.6% above
20 week MA$15.14.2% below
50 week MA$13.66.5% above
100 week MA$15.88.4% below
200 week MA$12.218% above

GRND's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over GRND on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GRND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.6$10.1-4.1%
2022$10.1$5.14-49%
2023$5.14$8.78+71%
2024$8.78$17.9+104%
2025$17.9$13.5-25%
2026 YTD$13.5$14.4+7%

GRND's yearly returns have swung widely, from +104% in 2024 to −49% in 2022. It's up 7% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over GRND on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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