GRBK
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
GRBK offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over GRBK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
GRBK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
GRBK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
GRBK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.1x | $38.15 | -37% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $55.06 | -9.6% |
| Current | 9.8x | $60.92 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $64.66 | +6.1% |
| Forward | 11x | $60.92 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GRBK has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
GRBK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GRBK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over GRBK on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
GRBK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.30 | -15% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.22 | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.64 | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.79 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.07 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.62 | -1% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.83 | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.30 | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.45 | +38% |
GRBK has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
GRBK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $448.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $493.8M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $465.5M | -6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $536.8M | -5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $499.1M | -4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $549.1M | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $497.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $567.3M | +26% |
GRBK's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $448M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | -4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | -3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -4.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +1.7 points |
GRBK has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over GRBK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
GRBK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$53.7M | -$41.7M |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.8M | -113% |
| Q1 2026 | $55M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $78.4M | +180% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | -$4.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $74M | +9391% |
| Q1 2025 | $68M | +90612% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.1M | +$50.4M |
GRBK has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
GRBK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -75K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -428K shares |
| 3 years | -5.7% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -7.9M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -7.4M shares |
GRBK has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $9.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $23M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $43.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $393,000 |
GRBK spent $58M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 5.7% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
GRBK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
GRBK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over GRBK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GRBK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
GRBK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
GRBK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GRBK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 18x | 46% below |
| PE % | 74 | 47 | 27 pts above |
GRBK has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
GRBK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $63.8 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $68.7 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $68.9 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $65.8 | 7.4% below |
| 200 week MA | $59.8 | 1.8% above |
GRBK has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.8% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over GRBK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GRBK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.4 | $24.3 | +113% |
| 2021 | $24.3 | $29.9 | +23% |
| 2022 | $29.9 | $24.3 | -19% |
| 2023 | $24.3 | $51.9 | +114% |
| 2024 | $51.9 | $56.4 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $56.4 | $63.8 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $63.8 | $60.9 | -4.5% |
GRBK has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.