GRBK
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
GRBK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over GRBK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
GRBK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
GRBK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
GRBK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.1x | $38.15 | -37% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $55.06 | -9.6% |
| Current | 9.8x | $60.92 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $64.66 | +6.1% |
| Forward | 11x | $60.92 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GRBK's PE is in its expensive range at 9.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 11x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over GRBK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GRBK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GRBK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GRBK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.30 | -15% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.22 | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.64 | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.79 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.07 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.62 | -1% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.83 | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.30 | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.45 | +38% |
GRBK has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
GRBK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $448.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $493.8M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $465.5M | -6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $536.8M | -5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $499.1M | -4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $549.1M | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $497.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $567.3M | +26% |
GRBK's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $448M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | -4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | -3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -4.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +1.7 points |
GRBK has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE has the edge over GRBK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GRBK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$53.7M | -$41.7M |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.8M | -113% |
| Q1 2026 | $55M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $78.4M | +180% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | -$4.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $74M | +9391% |
| Q1 2025 | $68M | +90612% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.1M | +$50.4M |
GRBK has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
GRBK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -75K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -428K shares |
| 3 years | -5.7% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -7.9M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -7.4M shares |
GRBK has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $9.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $23M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $43.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $393,000 |
GRBK spent $58M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 5.7% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
GRBK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
GRBK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GRBK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
GRBK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
GRBK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GRBK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 18x | 46% below |
| PE % | 74 | 47 | 27 pts above |
GRBK has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
GRBK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $63.8 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $68.7 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $68.9 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $65.8 | 7.4% below |
| 200 week MA | $59.8 | 1.8% above |
GRBK has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.8% above its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
GRBK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.4 | $24.3 | +113% |
| 2021 | $24.3 | $29.9 | +23% |
| 2022 | $29.9 | $24.3 | -19% |
| 2023 | $24.3 | $51.9 | +114% |
| 2024 | $51.9 | $56.4 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $56.4 | $63.8 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $63.8 | $60.9 | -4.5% |
GRBK has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.