GRBK
Green Brick Partners, Inc.
GRBK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over GRBK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
GRBK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
GRBK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GRBK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.1x | $38.15 | -37% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $55.06 | -9.6% |
| Current | 9.8x | $60.92 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $64.66 | +6.1% |
| Forward | 11x | $60.92 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GRBK's PE is in its expensive range at 9.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 11x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GRBK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GRBK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over GRBK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GRBK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.30 | -15% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.22 | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.64 | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.79 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.07 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.62 | -1% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.83 | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.30 | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.45 | +38% |
GRBK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
GRBK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $448.2M | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $493.8M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $465.5M | -6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $536.8M | -5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $499.1M | -4.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $549.1M | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $497.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $567.3M | +26% |
GRBK's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $448M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | -4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | -3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -4.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | +1.7 points |
GRBK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over GRBK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GRBK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$53.7M | -$41.7M |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.8M | -113% |
| Q1 2026 | $55M | -19% |
| Q4 2025 | $78.4M | +180% |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | -$4.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $74M | +9391% |
| Q1 2025 | $68M | +90612% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.1M | +$50.4M |
GRBK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$54M, but it generated $70M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
GRBK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -75K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -428K shares |
| 3 years | -5.7% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -7.9M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -7.4M shares |
GRBK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $9.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $23M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $43.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $16.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $393,000 |
GRBK spent $58M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 5.7% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
GRBK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
GRBK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GRBK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
GRBK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GRBK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GRBK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 18x | 46% below |
| PE % | 74 | 47 | 27 pts above |
GRBK is trading at 9.8x earnings, a 46% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GRBK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $63.8 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $68.7 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $68.9 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $65.8 | 7.4% below |
| 200 week MA | $59.8 | 1.8% above |
GRBK has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
GRBK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.4 | $24.3 | +113% |
| 2021 | $24.3 | $29.9 | +23% |
| 2022 | $29.9 | $24.3 | -19% |
| 2023 | $24.3 | $51.9 | +114% |
| 2024 | $51.9 | $56.4 | +8.7% |
| 2025 | $56.4 | $63.8 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $63.8 | $60.9 | -4.5% |
GRBK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.