GRAL

GRAIL, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score GRAL yet.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 15% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 43%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

GRAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

GRAL's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

GRAL PE Valuation

GRAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GRAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Growth
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GRAL's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GRAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $121.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GRAL and NVO's risk to reward.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GRAL and NVO's risk to reward.

GRAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-41.35Q1 2024: $-42.16Q2 2024: $-87.00Q3 2024: $-62.23Q4 2024: $-65.09Q1 2025: $-61.14Q2 2025: $-13.26Q3 2025: $-11.78Q4 2025: $-11.11Q1 2026: $-10.30Q2 2026: $-9.68Q3 2026: $-9.43
Q4 2023: $-41.35Q1 2024: $-42.16Q2 2024: $-87.00Q3 2024: $-62.23Q4 2024: $-65.09Q1 2025: $-61.14Q2 2025: $-13.26Q3 2025: $-11.78Q4 2025: $-11.11Q1 2026: $-10.30Q2 2026: $-9.68Q3 2026: $-9.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$9.43+$2.35
Q2 2026-$9.68+$3.58
Q1 2026-$10.30+$50.84
Q4 2025-$11.11+$53.98
Q3 2025-$11.78+$50.45
Q2 2025-$13.26+$73.74
Q1 2025-$61.14-$18.98
Q4 2024-$65.09-$23.74

GRAL is still losing money, but far less than before: $9.43 per share over the past year, against $87.00 at its worst in mid-2024.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over GRAL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GRAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$37.5M+3.7%
Q2 2026$44.7M+26%
Q1 2026$40.8M+28%
Q4 2025$43.6M+14%
Q3 2025$36.2M+26%
Q2 2025$35.5M+11%
Q1 2025$31.8M+19%
Q4 2024$38.3M+26%

GRAL has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

GRAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$133MQ1 2024: −$210MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$105MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: −$77MQ3 2025: −$64MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$79M
Q4 2023: −$133MQ1 2024: −$210MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$105MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: −$77MQ3 2025: −$64MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$79.5M-$15.8M
Q2 2026-$81.2M-$3.8M
Q1 2026-$87.5M+$7.6M
Q3 2025-$63.6M+$41M
Q1 2025-$95.1M+$114.8M
Q3 2024-$104.6M+$56M
Q1 2024-$209.8M-$36.3M

GRAL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$341M the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over GRAL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GRAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.5%+3.7M shares
1 year+29%+10.7M shares
3 years+51%+15.7M shares

GRAL has 47M diluted shares, up 29% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over GRAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GRAL Net Leverage

GRAL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GRAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.0Neutral
Stochastic63.5Neutral

GRAL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

GRAL PE vs Healthcare Sector

GRAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

GRAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.97.3% below
20 week MA$96.626% above
50 week MA$81.150% above
100 week MA$62.195% above

GRAL has stronger trend alignment. GRAL is above 3 of 4 weekly averages versus NVO above 1 of 5.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

GRAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$17.2$19.6+14%
2025$19.6$91.6+367%
2026 YTD$91.6$121.4+32%

GRAL has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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