GRAL

GRAIL, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score GRAL yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

GRAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

GRAL's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GRAL PE Valuation

GRAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GRAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Growth
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GRAL's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

GRAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $121.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GRAL and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GRAL and LLY's risk to reward.

GRAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-41.35Q1 2024: $-42.16Q2 2024: $-87.00Q3 2024: $-62.23Q4 2024: $-65.09Q1 2025: $-61.14Q2 2025: $-13.26Q3 2025: $-11.78Q4 2025: $-11.11Q1 2026: $-10.30Q2 2026: $-9.68Q3 2026: $-9.43
Q4 2023: $-41.35Q1 2024: $-42.16Q2 2024: $-87.00Q3 2024: $-62.23Q4 2024: $-65.09Q1 2025: $-61.14Q2 2025: $-13.26Q3 2025: $-11.78Q4 2025: $-11.11Q1 2026: $-10.30Q2 2026: $-9.68Q3 2026: $-9.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$9.43+$2.35
Q2 2026-$9.68+$3.58
Q1 2026-$10.30+$50.84
Q4 2025-$11.11+$53.98
Q3 2025-$11.78+$50.45
Q2 2025-$13.26+$73.74
Q1 2025-$61.14-$18.98
Q4 2024-$65.09-$23.74

GRAL is still losing money, but far less than before: $9.43 per share over the past year, against $87.00 at its worst in mid-2024.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over GRAL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GRAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$37.5M+3.7%
Q2 2026$44.7M+26%
Q1 2026$40.8M+28%
Q4 2025$43.6M+14%
Q3 2025$36.2M+26%
Q2 2025$35.5M+11%
Q1 2025$31.8M+19%
Q4 2024$38.3M+26%

GRAL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2024: $38M last quarter, up 3.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over GRAL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GRAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$133MQ1 2024: −$210MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$105MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: −$77MQ3 2025: −$64MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$79M
Q4 2023: −$133MQ1 2024: −$210MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$105MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$95MQ2 2025: −$77MQ3 2025: −$64MQ4 2025: −$64MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$79.5M-$15.8M
Q2 2026-$81.2M-$3.8M
Q1 2026-$87.5M+$7.6M
Q3 2025-$63.6M+$41M
Q1 2025-$95.1M+$114.8M
Q3 2024-$104.6M+$56M
Q1 2024-$209.8M-$36.3M

GRAL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$341M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over GRAL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GRAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+8.5%+3.7M shares
1 year+29%+10.7M shares
3 years+51%+15.7M shares

GRAL has 47M diluted shares, up 29% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over GRAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GRAL Net Leverage

GRAL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

GRAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.0Neutral
Stochastic63.5Neutral

GRAL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

GRAL PE vs Healthcare Sector

GRAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

GRAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.97.3% below
20 week MA$96.626% above
50 week MA$81.150% above
100 week MA$62.195% above

LLY has stronger trend alignment. GRAL is above 3 of 4 weekly averages versus LLY above 5 of 5.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

GRAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$17.2$19.6+14%
2025$19.6$91.6+367%
2026 YTD$91.6$121.4+32%

GRAL has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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