GPRE
Green Plains Inc.
GPRE's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin went from −4.3% to 11%, but revenue fell 19%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.
GPRE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
GPRE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure.
GPRE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 5.4x | $13.61 | — |
| Forward | 5.7x | $13.61 | — |
| Cheap | 8.3x | $21.19 | +56% |
| Fair | 8.7x | $22.17 | +63% |
| Expensive | 9.2x | $23.24 | +71% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPRE's PE is 5.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
GPRE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GPRE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GPRE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.41 | -5.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.54 | +$5.39 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.68 | +$4.01 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.24 | +$1.38 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.80 | -$0.51 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.85 | -$2.50 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.33 | -$1.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.62 | -$0.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.29 | +$0.30 |
GPRE has returned to profit: it earned $2.54 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
GPRE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $496M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $446.2M | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $445.8M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $428.8M | -27% |
| Q3 2025 | $508.5M | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | $552.8M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $601.5M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $584M | -18% |
GPRE's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $496M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.5% | +4.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.7% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.1% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -10% | -2.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7% | -9.3 points |
GPRE's operating margin was 19% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
GPRE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11.3M | -132% |
| Q2 2026 | $75.6M | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | -$45.9M | +$25.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $62M | +$116.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $35.8M | +4% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.7M | +$80.5M |
| Q1 2025 | -$71.8M | +$643K |
| Q4 2024 | -$54.2M | -167% |
GPRE's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $80M over the past year.
GPRE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.2% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +9.8% | +7.6M shares |
| 3 years | +27% | +18.1M shares |
| 5 years | +69% | +35M shares |
| Available history | +124% | +47.4M shares |
GPRE has 86M diluted shares, up 9.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $11.5M |
| Q4 2019 | $5.8M |
GPRE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 7.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 18.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 17.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
GPRE's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 18 years a year ago.
GPRE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.8 | Oversold |
GPRE's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
GPRE PE vs Basic Materials Sector
| Metric | GPRE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.4x | 19x | 71% below |
GPRE is trading at 5.4x earnings, a 71% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x, though its earnings don't support one.
GPRE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.2 | 4.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $14.5 | 6.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.0 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $17.4 | 22% below |
GPRE's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.
GPRE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.3 | $13.7 | -10% |
| 2021 | $13.7 | $35.8 | +161% |
| 2022 | $35.8 | $30.0 | -16% |
| 2023 | $30.0 | $25.2 | -16% |
| 2024 | $25.2 | $9.08 | -64% |
| 2025 | $9.08 | $9.88 | +8.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.88 | $13.6 | +38% |
GPRE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +161% in 2021 to −64% in 2024. It's up 38% so far in 2026.