GPN

Global Payments Inc.

58
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

GPN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over GPN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

GPN's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GPN PE Valuation

GPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GPN, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

GPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$120.12
Downside-25%$65.85

Calculated from the latest close: $88.19 on Nov 12.

GPN trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GPN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.77Q1 2024: $5.03Q2 2024: $5.45Q3 2024: $5.30Q4 2024: $6.16Q1 2025: $6.18Q2 2025: $5.70Q3 2025: $7.10Q4 2025: $5.78Q1 2026: $-2.05Q2 2026: $-2.99Q3 2026: $-4.57Forward: $15.48
Q4 2023: $3.77Q1 2024: $5.03Q2 2024: $5.45Q3 2024: $5.30Q4 2024: $6.16Q1 2025: $6.18Q2 2025: $5.70Q3 2025: $7.10Q4 2025: $5.78Q1 2026: $-2.05Q2 2026: $-2.99Q3 2026: $-4.57Forward: $15.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.48—
Q3 2026-$4.57-164%
Q2 2026-$2.99-152%
Q1 2026-$2.05-133%
Q4 2025$5.78-6.2%
Q3 2025$7.10+34%
Q2 2025$5.70+4.6%
Q1 2025$6.18+23%
Q4 2024$6.16+63%

GPN has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

GPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B+65%
Q2 2026$3.3B+70%
Q1 2026$3B+23%
Q4 2025$1.9B-23%
Q3 2025$2B-23%
Q2 2025$2B-24%
Q1 2025$2.4B-0.3%
Q4 2024$2.5B+3.4%

GPN's revenue is growing: $3.3B last quarter, up 65% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over GPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $500MQ1 2024: $271MQ2 2024: $558MQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $469MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $599MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: −$550MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: −$393M
Q4 2023: $500MQ1 2024: $271MQ2 2024: $558MQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $469MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $599MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: −$550MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: −$393M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$392.8M-166%
Q2 2026$427M-36%
Q1 2026-$550.2M-229%
Q4 2025$347M-26%
Q3 2025$598.9M-62%
Q2 2025$665.4M+19%
Q1 2025$427.5M+58%
Q4 2024$469.4M-6.1%

GPN's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$169M over the past year.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

GPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 262MQ1 2024: 258MQ2 2024: 255MQ3 2024: 255MQ4 2024: 255MQ1 2025: 247MQ2 2025: 244MQ3 2025: 240MQ4 2025: 242MQ1 2026: 273MQ2 2026: 270MQ3 2026: 265M
Q4 2023: 262MQ1 2024: 258MQ2 2024: 255MQ3 2024: 255MQ4 2024: 255MQ1 2025: 247MQ2 2025: 244MQ3 2025: 240MQ4 2025: 242MQ1 2026: 273MQ2 2026: 270MQ3 2026: 265M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-5M shares
1 year+10%+25M shares
3 years+1.6%+4.2M shares
5 years-9.3%-27.3M shares
Available history-12%-35.7M shares

GPN has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

GPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.6x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.6xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20265.3xHigh
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

GPN's net debt is about 4.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.1Neutral
Stochastic68.4Neutral

GPN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

GPN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

GPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$87.01.4% above
20 week MA$86.22.3% above
50 week MA$78.013% above
100 week MA$83.16.1% above
200 week MA$98.010% below

GPN has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

GPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$182.9$205.6+12%
2021$205.6$135.4-34%
2022$135.4$96.7-29%
2023$96.7$127.0+31%
2024$127.0$112.4-12%
2025$112.4$80.4-28%
2026 YTD$80.4$88.2+9.8%

GPN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 9.8% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over GPN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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