GPI
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
GPI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over GPI overall on the model score.
GPI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
GPI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
GPI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.1x | $162 | -37% |
| Forward | 7x | $257 | — |
| Current | 8.1x | $257 | — |
| Fair | 8.2x | $261 | +1.5% |
| Expensive | 12x | $383 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPI has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
GPI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect GPI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over GPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GPI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $36.79 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $31.83 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.24 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.42 | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.24 | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.64 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $36.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.68 | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.81 | -14% |
GPI has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
GPI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.4B | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.4B | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.4B | -1.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.8B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.5B | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5B | +24% |
GPI has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.9% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | -0.9 points |
GPI has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
GPI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $146.7M | +69% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.8M | -89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.4M | -92% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.4M | -57% |
| Q3 2025 | $86.7M | -55% |
| Q2 2025 | $179.9M | +$343.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $106.5M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.1M | +$370.4M |
GPI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $226M over the past year.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
GPI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +32.9K shares |
| 1 year | -7.2% | -920K shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -33% | -6M shares |
| Available history | -34% | -6.1M shares |
GPI has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $72.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $305M |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $44.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $122.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $32M |
GPI spent $377M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 34% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
GPI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2022 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2021 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2021 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2021 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2021 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 2.3x | Moderate |
GPI's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
GPI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.1 | Neutral |
GPI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
GPI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GPI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.1x | 18x | 55% below |
| PE % | 48 | 47 | 1 pt above |
GPI has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
GPI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $250.1 | 2.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $270.7 | 5% below |
| 50 week MA | $317.4 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $373.7 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $329.9 | 22% below |
GPI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 22% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over GPI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GPI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $100.8 | $118.8 | +18% |
| 2021 | $118.8 | $188.0 | +58% |
| 2022 | $188.0 | $174.6 | -7.1% |
| 2023 | $174.6 | $304.7 | +75% |
| 2024 | $304.7 | $423.1 | +39% |
| 2025 | $423.1 | $407.6 | -3.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $407.6 | $257.3 | -37% |
GPI is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over GPI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.