GPI
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
GPI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over GPI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
GPI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
GPI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GPI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.1x | $162 | -37% |
| Forward | 7x | $257 | — |
| Current | 8.1x | $257 | — |
| Fair | 8.2x | $261 | +1.5% |
| Expensive | 12x | $383 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPI's PE is in its fair range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.0x.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect GPI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over GPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GPI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $36.79 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $31.83 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.24 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.42 | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.24 | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.64 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $36.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.68 | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.81 | -14% |
GPI has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
GPI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.4B | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.4B | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.4B | -1.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.8B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.5B | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5B | +24% |
GPI's revenue has held roughly level: $5.4B last quarter, down 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.9% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | -0.9 points |
GPI has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over GPI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
GPI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $146.7M | +69% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.8M | -89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.4M | -92% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.4M | -57% |
| Q3 2025 | $86.7M | -55% |
| Q2 2025 | $179.9M | +$343.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $106.5M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.1M | +$370.4M |
GPI has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
GPI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +32.9K shares |
| 1 year | -7.2% | -920K shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -33% | -6M shares |
| Available history | -34% | -6.1M shares |
GPI has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $72.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $305M |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $44.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $122.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $32M |
GPI spent $377M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 34% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GPI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2022 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2021 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2021 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2021 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2021 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 2.3x | Moderate |
GPI's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GPI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.1 | Neutral |
GPI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
GPI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GPI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.1x | 18x | 55% below |
| PE % | 48 | 47 | 1 pt above |
GPI is trading at 8.1x earnings, a 55% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $250.1 | 2.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $270.7 | 5% below |
| 50 week MA | $317.4 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $373.7 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $329.9 | 22% below |
GPI has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
GPI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $100.8 | $118.8 | +18% |
| 2021 | $118.8 | $188.0 | +58% |
| 2022 | $188.0 | $174.6 | -7.1% |
| 2023 | $174.6 | $304.7 | +75% |
| 2024 | $304.7 | $423.1 | +39% |
| 2025 | $423.1 | $407.6 | -3.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $407.6 | $257.3 | -37% |
GPI has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.