GPI
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
GPI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over GPI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
GPI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
GPI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GPI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.1x | $162 | -37% |
| Forward | 7x | $257 | — |
| Current | 8.1x | $257 | — |
| Fair | 8.2x | $261 | +1.5% |
| Expensive | 12x | $383 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPI's PE is in its fair range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.0x.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect GPI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over GPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GPI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $36.79 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $31.83 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.24 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.42 | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.24 | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.64 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $36.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.68 | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.81 | -14% |
GPI has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
GPI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.4B | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.4B | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.4B | -1.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.8B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.5B | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5B | +24% |
GPI's revenue has held roughly level: $5.4B last quarter, down 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.9% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | -0.9 points |
GPI has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over GPI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GPI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $146.7M | +69% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.8M | -89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.4M | -92% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.4M | -57% |
| Q3 2025 | $86.7M | -55% |
| Q2 2025 | $179.9M | +$343.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $106.5M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.1M | +$370.4M |
GPI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $226M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over GPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GPI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +32.9K shares |
| 1 year | -7.2% | -920K shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -33% | -6M shares |
| Available history | -34% | -6.1M shares |
GPI has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $72.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $305M |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $44.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $122.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $32M |
GPI spent $377M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 34% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
GPI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2022 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2021 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2021 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2021 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2021 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 2.3x | Moderate |
GPI's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GPI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.1 | Neutral |
GPI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GPI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GPI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.1x | 18x | 55% below |
| PE % | 48 | 47 | 1 pt above |
GPI is trading at 8.1x earnings, a 55% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $250.1 | 2.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $270.7 | 5% below |
| 50 week MA | $317.4 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $373.7 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $329.9 | 22% below |
GPI has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
GPI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $100.8 | $118.8 | +18% |
| 2021 | $118.8 | $188.0 | +58% |
| 2022 | $188.0 | $174.6 | -7.1% |
| 2023 | $174.6 | $304.7 | +75% |
| 2024 | $304.7 | $423.1 | +39% |
| 2025 | $423.1 | $407.6 | -3.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $407.6 | $257.3 | -37% |
GPI has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.