GPGI
GPGI, Inc.
GPGI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over GPGI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
GPGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Strong |
GPGI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
GPGI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.3x | $0.53 | -96% |
| Fair | 6.5x | $0.65 | -95% |
| Expensive | 7.3x | $0.73 | -95% |
| Forward | 13x | $14.02 | — |
| Current | 140x | $14.02 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPGI's PE is in its expensive range at 140x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GPGI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over GPGI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GPGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.07 | +970% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.80 | -15% |
GPGI has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
GPGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $59.8M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.9M | +1% |
| Q3 2024 | $107.1M | +11% |
| Q2 2024 | $108.6M | +10% |
| Q1 2024 | $104M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2023 | $99.9M | +6.5% |
| Q3 2023 | $96.9M | -6.2% |
| Q2 2023 | $98.5M | +1.4% |
GPGI's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $0 last quarter.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -20 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -15 points |
| Q3 2024 | 27% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2024 | 29% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2024 | 30% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2023 | 31% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2023 | 30% | +4.9 points |
| Q2 2023 | 31% | -4.6 points |
GPGI's operating margin was 10% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2022.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over GPGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GPGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.5M | +$10.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $8.6M | +23143% |
| Q1 2026 | -$52.6M | -1847% |
| Q4 2025 | -$14M | -143% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.9M | -145% |
| Q2 2025 | $37K | -100% |
| Q1 2025 | $3M | -91% |
| Q4 2024 | $32.8M | +48% |
GPGI has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
GPGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +49.2K shares |
| 1 year | +186% | +190M shares |
| 3 years | +1135% | +269M shares |
GPGI has 292M diluted shares, up 186% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has the edge over GPGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
GPGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -9.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 2.3x | Moderate |
GPGI has more cash than debt.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
GPGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.0 | Neutral |
GPGI's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
GPGI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | GPGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 140x | 24x | 482% above |
| PE % | 98 | 56 | 42 pts above |
GPGI is trading at 140x earnings, a 482% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.5 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 5.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.2 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.6 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.1 | 27% above |
GPGI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
GPGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $8.19 | $8.48 | +3.5% |
| 2021 | $8.48 | $8.37 | -1.3% |
| 2022 | $8.37 | $4.04 | -52% |
| 2023 | $4.04 | $4.49 | +11% |
| 2024 | $4.49 | $13.2 | +193% |
| 2025 | $13.2 | $19.5 | +48% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $14.0 | -28% |
GPGI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +193% in 2024 to −52% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over GPGI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.