GOVX

GeoVax Labs, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score GOVX yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

GOVX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

GOVX's revenue and profitability are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

GOVX PE Valuation

GOVX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GOVX Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GOVX to show an outlook.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

GOVX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $2.04 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GOVX and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare GOVX and LLY's risk to reward.

GOVX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-8,716.74Q1 2024: $-8,848.74Q2 2024: $-8,062.74Q3 2024: $-5,728.74Q4 2025: $-776.64Q1 2026: $-569.52Q2 2026: $-382.80Q3 2026: $-207.36
Q4 2023: $-8,716.74Q1 2024: $-8,848.74Q2 2024: $-8,062.74Q3 2024: $-5,728.74Q4 2025: $-776.64Q1 2026: $-569.52Q2 2026: $-382.80Q3 2026: $-207.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$5,728.74+$1,741.26
Q2 2024-$8,062.74-$1,942.74
Q1 2024-$8,848.74-$3,088.74
Q4 2023-$8,716.74-$1,246.74
Q3 2023-$7,470.00+$18,810.00
Q2 2023-$6,120.00+$21,420.00
Q1 2023-$5,760.00+$22,050.00
Q4 2022-$7,470.00+$19,890.00

LLY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 104% for GOVX versus LLY up 51%.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

GOVX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $300,677Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $864,415Q1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $852,282Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $300,677Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $864,415Q1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $852,282Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2025$852.3K+183%
Q1 2022$81.5K-26%
Q4 2021$165K-34%
Q3 2021$30.4K-93%
Q2 2021$79.7K-82%
Q1 2021$110.4K-85%
Q4 2020$251.6K-6.3%

GOVX's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $0 last quarter.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over GOVX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOVX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.3M+$1.9M
Q2 2026-$3.7M+$687K
Q1 2026-$3.5M+$2.4M
Q4 2025-$5M+$2.8M
Q3 2025-$6.2M+$3.1M
Q1 2025-$6M-$298.8K
Q4 2024-$7.8M+$2.5M
Q3 2024-$9.3M-$4.2M

GOVX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$16M over the past year, against −$24M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over GOVX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GOVX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3,029Q1 2024: 3,945Q2 2024: 4,233Q3 2024: 10,675Q1 2025: 19,925Q2 2025: 25,599Q3 2025: 33,812Q4 2025: 39,935Q1 2026: 83,672Q2 2026: 190,217Q3 2026: 393,550
Q4 2023: 3,029Q1 2024: 3,945Q2 2024: 4,233Q3 2024: 10,675Q1 2025: 19,925Q2 2025: 25,599Q3 2025: 33,812Q4 2025: 39,935Q1 2026: 83,672Q2 2026: 190,217Q3 2026: 393,550
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+107%+203K shares
1 year+1064%+360K shares
3 years+13295%+391K shares
5 years+452256%+393K shares

GOVX has 393,550 diluted shares, up 1064% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over GOVX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOVX Net Leverage

GOVX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

GOVX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.7Oversold
Stochastic1.4Oversold

GOVX's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

GOVX PE vs Healthcare Sector

GOVX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

GOVX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.4262% below
20 week MA$12.984% below
50 week MA$43.495% below
100 week MA$349.099% below
200 week MA$1,907.6100% below

GOVX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 100% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over GOVX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOVX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143,928.0$29,520.0-79%
2021$29,520.0$36,180.0+23%
2022$36,180.0$5,106.5-86%
2023$5,106.5$3,249.1-36%
2024$3,249.1$1,476.0-55%
2025$1,476.0$108.7-93%
2026 YTD$108.7$2.04-98%

GOVX has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 98% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over GOVX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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