GOOS

Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

55
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

GOOS has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GOOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

GOOS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

GOOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$8.28—
Cheap23x$8.92+7.8%
Fair32x$12.21+48%
Expensive72x$27.34+230%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOS has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

GOOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GOOS, with profitability holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GOOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$10.78
Downside-23%$6.40

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

GOOS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails GOOS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GOOS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.38+15%
Q1 2026$0.14-79%
Q4 2025$0.14-73%
Q3 2025$0.18-57%
Q2 2025$0.33-20%
Q1 2025$0.67+60%
Q4 2024$0.51+42%
Q3 2024$0.42+17%

GOOS has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

GOOS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$83.6M+10%
Q1 2026$319.5M+18%
Q4 2025$488.3M+14%
Q3 2025$191.6M+1.8%
Q2 2025$75.8M+22%
Q1 2025$270.4M+7.4%
Q4 2024$427.4M-0.3%
Q3 2024$188.3M-4.7%

GOOS has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GOOS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$137.4M-$36.1M
Q1 2026$45.8M-52%
Q4 2025$225.3M-5.2%
Q3 2025-$87.9M+$14.1M
Q2 2025-$101.3M+$703K
Q1 2025$94.7M+147%
Q4 2024$237.7M+1.5%
Q3 2024-$102.1M-$43.6M

GOOS has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

GOOS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.9M shares
1 year-0.9%-840K shares
3 years-6.2%-6.4M shares
5 years-12%-13.2M shares
Available history-12%-13.5M shares

GOOS has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GOOS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 20242.9xModerate

GOOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over GOOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic47.3Neutral

GOOS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

GOOS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGOOSSector medianRelative
PE22x18x21% above
PE %104737 pts below

GOOS has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GOOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.062.7% above
20 week MA$8.472.2% below
50 week MA$10.320% below
100 week MA$10.823% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GOOS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 33% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over GOOS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.6$30.9-18%
2021$30.9$37.3+21%
2022$37.3$17.3-54%
2023$17.3$11.9-32%
2024$11.9$9.98-16%
2025$9.98$12.8+28%
2026 YTD$12.8$8.28-35%

GOOS has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over GOOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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